Seahawks @ Bengals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2023)

Sun, Oct 15, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Cincinnati Bengals

Weather at kickoff57°F11 mphgusts 23DryWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

3-1 · Power #20

final

Final

Cincinnati Bengals

2-3 · Power #17

▲ winner

Closing spread

CIN -1.5

✓ CIN W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 30 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 24–25 CIN

✓ CIN (54%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseCIN -1.5

Total45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseCIN -1.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close45.5

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseCIN -1.5

Total45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CIN as a 1.5-point home favorite against SEA, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: CIN won 17–13; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 30 points stayed under 45.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 53%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 45%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.9 against an average line of 1.6; 38.5 points a game (usually 45.6). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PHI vs LAR 2020 · Week 2 · very close · similar total & spread	-2	19–37	L	O46
Very close	PIT vs TEN 2021 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & season form	-1	19–13	W	U44
Very close	PIT vs CLE 2021 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & total	-1	26–14	W	U43.5
Close	LV vs GB 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & rest	-1	17–13	W	U43.5
Close	WSH vs SEA 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & total	-1	17–15	W	U47
Close	LAC vs ATL 2020 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & season form	-1	20–17	W	U49
Close	LV vs NE 2022 · Week 15 · close · similar total & spread	-2	30–24	W	O45.5
Close	ATL vs CAR 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar total & season form	-2.5	13–19	L	U46.5
Close	NYG vs CAR 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & situation	-2	19–16	W	U43.5
Close	NYJ vs DET 2022 · Week 15 · close · similar spread & situation	-2	17–20	L	U43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA ––––	0-0	—	—	—
CIN –––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: SEA away, as underdog; CIN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA ––––	0-0	—	3-1
CIN –––––	0-0	—	2-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEAlast 4	3-1 75%	0-0 —	0-0 —
CINlast 5	2-3 40%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

SEA 3–4 CIN CIN leads · 7 games since 1999 · CIN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−7.8 →−1.6▲ 6.2#18

CIN−6.0 →−4.8▲ 1.2#29

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

SEA

Longer bar = better

CIN

Offense

◀ SEA better

#26

#15

Defense

◀ SEA better

#21

+1.3 #4

Turnovers

◀ SEA better

+0.8 #9

59 plays #28

Pace

CIN faster ▶

63 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	27.8 #6	22.8 #20	SEA
Yards / play	5.44 #12	5.59 #25	SEA
EPA / play	+0.08 #7	−0.02 #18	SEA
Success rate	49% #4	44% #20	SEA

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	CIN off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	16.6 #28	22.8 #19	SEA
Yards / play	4.20 #31	5.05 #13	SEA
EPA / play	−0.13 #26	−0.04 #13	SEA
Success rate	42% #19	43% #14	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	5.0 #14	6.5 #17	11.5 #14	6.8 #5	8.0 #10	14.8 #3
CIN allowed	2.6 #7	10.8 #30	13.4 #22	4.4 #21	5.0 #11	9.4 #15

CIN scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	2.6 #22	4.6 #26	7.2 #27	5.4 #8	4.0 #27	9.4 #20
SEA allowed	4.3 #17	5.0 #7	9.3 #9	4.3 #20	9.3 #27	13.5 #26

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.