Cardinals @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2023)

Sun, Oct 22, 2023, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Seattle Seahawks · Division game

Weather at kickoff55°F8 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Arizona Cardinals

1-5 · Power #28

final

Final

Seattle Seahawks

3-2 · Power #20

▲ winner

Closing spread

SEA -9.5

✓ SEA W

Total

43.5

▼ Under · 30 pts

Model before kickoff

ARI 21–30 SEA

✓ SEA (80%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseSEA -9.5

Total43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseSEA -9.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close43.5

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseSEA -9.5

Total43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 9.5-point home favorite against ARI, the favorite won 10, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 20–10; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 30 points stayed under 43.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 85%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 17.1 against an average line of 9.8; 44.9 points a game (usually 46.8). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LAC vs NYG 2021 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & rest	-9	37–21	W	O43.5
Very close	SEA vs DET 2021 · Week 17 · very close · similar rest & spread	-9	51–29	W	O41.5
Very close	KC vs PIT 2021 · Week 16 · very close · similar total & season form	-10.5	36–10	W	O44.5
Very close	MIA vs CIN 2020 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-10	19–7	W	U43
Very close	DAL vs WSH 2021 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10	56–14	W	O46
Very close	TB vs ATL 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10	21–15	L	U46
Very close	PHI vs NYG 2021 · Week 16 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	34–10	W	O40.5
Very close	DEN vs HOU 2022 · Week 2 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10	16–9	L	U45.5
Very close	SF vs NO 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & rest	-9	13–0	W	U43.5
Very close	GB vs NE 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & rest	-9.5	27–24	L	O40

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI ––––L	1-1	50%	1-1	1-1
SEA ––––L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: ARI away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI ––––U	0-2	0%	1-5
SEA ––––U	0-1	0%	3-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARIlast 6	1-5 17%	1-1 50%	0-2 0%
SEAlast 5	3-2 60%	0-1 0%	0-1 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

ARI 17–31 SEA (1 tied) SEA leads · 49 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last 10 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI−0.4 →−3.1▼ 2.7#29

SEA−7.8 →+0.4▲ 8.2#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

ARI

Longer bar = better

SEA

#17

Offense

SEA better ▶

#29

Defense

SEA better ▶

#14

0.0 #16

Turnovers

SEA better ▶

+0.8 #10

61 plays #23

Pace

Even

61 plays #24

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Even matchup

	ARI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	19.5 #20	21.6 #18	Even
Yards / play	5.41 #12	4.90 #9	Even
EPA / play	−0.07 #17	−0.05 #13	Even
Success rate	41% #20	44% #17	Even

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	24.8 #8	27.0 #27	SEA
Yards / play	5.45 #11	5.74 #28	SEA
EPA / play	+0.05 #9	+0.09 #29	SEA
Success rate	48% #4	51% #32	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	3.7 #20	10.8 #3	14.5 #7	3.8 #17	1.2 #32	5.0 #32
SEA allowed	4.8 #18	5.4 #7	10.2 #10	3.4 #14	8.0 #23	11.4 #24

SEA scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	5.4 #13	5.8 #21	11.2 #17	6.0 #4	6.4 #16	12.4 #7
ARI allowed	5.0 #19	5.7 #9	10.7 #13	5.7 #25	10.7 #31	16.3 #30

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.