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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 6 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 6: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
15 finalFavorites 10-5 ATS4 upsetsO/U 3-12Model Favorite 11-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1515 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS10-567% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under3-1220% over
Model Favorite11-473% won
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Thursday, Oct 12

1
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
1-4 · #25
8
Kansas City Chiefs
4-1 · #5
19
Spread
KC -9.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
19–29
✓ KC won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: KC by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Oct 15

13
Final · Neutral
Baltimore Ravens
3-2 · #2
24
Tennessee Titans
2-3 · #27
16
Spread
BAL -5.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
25–20
✓ BAL won
Model: BAL by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Washington Commanders
2-3 · #32
24
Atlanta Falcons
3-2 · #24
16
Spread
ATL -2.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–22
✗ ATL lost
Model: ATL by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Minnesota Vikings
1-4 · #15
19
Chicago Bears
1-4 · #18
13
Spread
MIN -3.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 32
Projected
28–25
✓ MIN won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CHI by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 9 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
3-1 · #20
13
Cincinnati Bengals
2-3 · #17
17
Spread
CIN -1.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
24–25
✓ CIN won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗ Model: SEA by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
5-0 · #1
17
Cleveland Browns
2-2 · #8
19
Spread
SF -9.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
35.5
▲ Over 36 · Q4
Projected
22–12
✗ SF lost
Trend: SF ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: SF by 5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
0-5 · #31
21
Miami Dolphins
4-1 · #7
42
Spread
MIA -13.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
25–39
✓ MIA won
Model: MIA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 17.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Indianapolis Colts
3-2 · #21
20
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-2 · #12
37
Spread
JAX -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
24–28
✓ JAX won
Model: JAX by 1 ✓ Model: Over 8.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
3-2 · #11
13
Houston Texans
2-3 · #13
20
Spread
NO -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
25–24
✗ NO lost
Model: HOU by 9.5 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
1-4 · #29
17
Las Vegas Raiders
2-3 · #23
21
Spread
LV -3.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
40.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
18–21
✓ LV won
Trend: NE ATS ✗ Model: LV by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
1-4 · #28
9
Los Angeles Rams
2-3 · #9
26
Spread
LAR -7.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
23–31
✓ LAR won
Model: LAR by 2 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
5-0 · #16
14
New York Jets
2-3 · #26
20
Spread
PHI -5.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
28–23
✗ PHI lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: PHI by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 9.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
4-1 · #6
20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-1 · #14
6
Spread
DET -3.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 26
Projected
23–20
✓ DET won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: DET by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
New York Giants
1-4 · #30
9
Buffalo Bills
3-2 · #4
14
Spread
BUF -15.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
14–31
✓ BUF won
Model: BUF by 11 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Oct 16

1
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
3-2 · #3
20
Los Angeles Chargers
2-2 · #22
17
Spread
DAL -1.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
28–27
✓ DAL won
Model: DAL by 3 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total