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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 14 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 14: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
15 finalFavorites 4-10 ATS8 upsetsO/U 8-7Model Favorite 7-8Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1515 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS4-1029% covered
Upsets8outright
Over / Under8-753% over
Model Favorite7-847% won
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Thursday, Dec 7

1
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
2-10 · #29
21
Pittsburgh Steelers
7-5 · #19
18
Spread
PIT -5.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
30.5
▲ Over 39 · Q2
Projected
16–21
✗ PIT lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NE by 5 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Dec 10

12
Final · Division
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5-7 · #14
29
Atlanta Falcons
6-6 · #24
25
Spread
ATL -1.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
22–23
✗ ATL lost
Trend: TB ATS ✓ Model: ATL by 0 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Detroit Lions
9-3 · #6
13
Chicago Bears
4-8 · #18
28
Spread
DET -3
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
27–24
✗ DET lost
Trend: DET ATS ✗ Model: DET by 3 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
7-5 · #21
14
Cincinnati Bengals
6-6 · #17
34
Spread
CIN -3
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✓ CIN won
Trend: IND ATS ✗ Model: IND by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville Jaguars
8-4 · #12
27
Cleveland Browns
7-5 · #8
31
Spread
CLE -2.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
37.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✓ CLE won
Trend: JAX ATS ✗ Model: JAX by 3 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Carolina Panthers
1-11 · #31
6
New Orleans Saints
5-7 · #11
28
Spread
NO -5.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
38.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
20–25
✓ NO won
Trend: CAR ATS ✗ Model: NO by 3 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
7-5 · #13
6
New York Jets
4-8 · #26
30
Spread
HOU -3
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
33.5
▲ Over 36 · Q4
Projected
24–21
✗ HOU lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: HOU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 11.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
6-6 · #9
31
Baltimore Ravens
9-3 · #2
37
Spread
BAL -7.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
42
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
20–28
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✗ Model: LAR by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
6-6 · #15
3
Las Vegas Raiders
5-7 · #23
0
Spread
MIN -3
Push
Total
40.5
▼ Under 3
Projected
25–22
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATSTrend: Under ✓ Model: LV by 0.5 Model: Over 6.5 ✗
Final · Division
Seattle Seahawks
6-6 · #20
16
San Francisco 49ers
9-3 · #1
28
Spread
SF -14
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
18–32
✓ SF won
Model: SEA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
6-6 · #4
20
Kansas City Chiefs
8-4 · #5
17
Spread
KC -2
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
49
▼ Under 37
Projected
24–26
✗ KC lost
Trend: KC ATS ✗ Model: KC by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
6-6 · #25
24
Los Angeles Chargers
5-7 · #22
7
Spread
LAC -3
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
24–27
✗ LAC lost
Trend: LAC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LAC by 2 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Philadelphia Eagles
10-2 · #16
13
Dallas Cowboys
9-3 · #3
33
Spread
DAL -3.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
26–29
✓ DAL won
Trend: DAL ATS ✓ Model: DAL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Dec 11

2
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
4-8 · #27
28
Miami Dolphins
9-3 · #7
27
Spread
MIA -13.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
18–32
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗ Model: TEN by 2 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
6-6 · #10
22
New York Giants
4-8 · #30
24
Spread
GB -5.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
37
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
24–18
✗ GB lost
Model: GB by 1 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total