FinalCurrentUpcomingWild Card round: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

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Games66 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS2-433% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under3-350% over
Model Favorite3-350% won
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Saturday, Jan 13

2
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
11-6 · #8
14
10-7 · #13
45
Spread
CLE -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
25–23
✗ CLE lost
Trend: CLE ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
11-6 · #7
7
11-6 · #5
26
Spread
KC -4.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
21–26
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIA by 3 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Jan 14

2
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
9-8 · #10
48
12-5 · #3
32
Spread
DAL -7
✓ GB W ATS
Total
52
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
22–29
✗ DAL lost
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Model: DAL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
10-7 · #9
23
12-5 · #6
24
Spread
DET -3
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 47
Projected
25–28
✓ DET won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓ Model: DET by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Jan 15

2
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs - originally scheduled on Jan. 14
10-7 · #19
17
11-6 · #4
31
Spread
BUF -10
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
39.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
18–28
✓ BUF won
Model: PIT by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
11-6 · #16
9
32
Spread
PHI -3
✓ TB W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–23
✗ PHI lost
Trend: TB ATS ✓ Model: TB by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total