FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 18: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

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Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS10-663% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under7-944% over
Model Favorite11-569% won
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Saturday, Jan 6

2
Final · Division
9-7 · #19
17
13-3 · #2
10
Spread
PIT -3
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
34
▼ Under 27
Projected
20–18
✓ PIT won
Trend: BAL ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BAL by 8.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
9-7 · #13
23
9-7 · #21
19
Spread
HOU -1.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
48
▼ Under 42
Projected
27–26
✓ HOU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✓ Model: IND by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Jan 7

14
Final · Division
11-5 · #8
14
8-8 · #17
31
Spread
CIN -7
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
37
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
18–24
✓ CIN won
Trend: CLE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CLE by 8 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
7-9 · #15
20
11-5 · #6
30
Spread
DET -3.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
24–28
✓ DET won
Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: DET by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
20
5-11 · #27
28
Spread
JAX -3.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
41
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
23–20
✗ JAX lost
Trend: JAX ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: JAX by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
6-10 · #26
17
4-12 · #29
3
Spread
NE -2.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
28.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
17–19
✗ NE lost
Trend: NE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: NYJ by 0 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
7-9 · #24
17
8-8 · #11
48
Spread
NO -3
✓ NO W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
21–25
✓ NO won
Model: NO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
9
2-14 · #31
0
Spread
TB -4.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
36.5
▼ Under 9
Projected
22–17
✓ TB won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
7-9 · #18
9
8-8 · #10
17
Spread
GB -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 26
Projected
23–25
✓ GB won
Model: GB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
8-8 · #25
14
7-9 · #23
27
Spread
LV -3
✓ LV W ATS
Total
37.5
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
22–24
✓ LV won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: DEN by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 8.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
11-5 · #16
10
5-11 · #30
27
Spread
PHI -5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–21
✗ PHI lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✓ Model: PHI by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
8-8 · #20
21
4-12 · #28
20
Spread
SEA -3
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–24
✓ SEA won
Model: ARI by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
10-6 · #5
13
5-11 · #22
12
Spread
LAC -3.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
35
▼ Under 25
Projected
17–20
✗ LAC lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: KC by 5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
9-7 · #9
21
12-4 · #1
20
Spread
SF -5.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
21–27
✗ SF lost
Trend: LAR ATS ✓ Model: SF by 9.5 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
11-5 · #3
38
4-12 · #32
10
Spread
DAL -13
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
31–18
✓ DAL won
Trend: DAL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: WSH by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
10-6 · #4
21
11-5 · #7
14
Spread
BUF -2.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
48
▼ Under 35
Projected
29–26
✓ BUF won
Model: MIA by 4 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total