Seahawks @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2023)

Sun, Jan 7, 2024, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 18 · at Arizona Cardinals · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

8-8 · Power #20

▲ winner

Final

Arizona Cardinals

4-12 · Power #28

final

Closing spread

SEA -3

✓ ARI W

Total

47.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 26–24 ARI

✓ SEA (60%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSEA -3

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseSEA -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close47.5

Line context

Road favorites of 1–5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 58% (48 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSEA -3

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 3-point road favorite at ARI, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 21–20; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 47.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.2 against an average line of 3.1; 50.6 points a game (usually 45.9). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PHI @ DET 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	44–6	W	O48
Very close	LAR @ ARI 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	37–14	W	O45
Very close	LAC @ ARI 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	25–24	L	P49
Very close	NE @ HOU 2020 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	20–27	L	U49.5
Very close	CIN @ DET 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	34–11	W	U46.5
Very close	IND @ CAR 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	27–13	W	U45
Very close	LAC @ LV 2021 · Week 18 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	32–35	L	O49.5
Very close	LV @ DEN 2020 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	32–31	L	O50.5
Very close	DET @ CAR 2020 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	0–20	L	U47
Very close	SF @ DAL 2020 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	33–41	L	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA WWWPL	5-5-2	50%	3-2-1	1-2-2
ARI LWLLW	6-6	50%	2-2	6-6

Venue/role: SEA away, as favorite; ARI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA OUUUO	5-7	42%	8-8
ARI OUOOO	6-6	50%	4-12

Stayed under: it needed 22 in the 4th quarter and got 15. 50% of games with totals 44.5–50.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	4-6 40%	4-4-2 50%	5-5 50%
ARI	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

SEA 31–17 ARI (1 tied) SEA leads · 49 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last 10 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 22 2023	Arizona Cardinals 10 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	SEA -9.5	SEA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−7.8 →−0.8▲ 7.0#18

ARI−0.4 →−3.4▼ 3.0#29

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

SEA

Longer bar = better

ARI

#13

Offense

◀ SEA better

#24

#26

Defense

◀ SEA better

#31

+0.1 #14

Turnovers

◀ SEA better

−0.1 #18

59 plays #32

Pace

ARI faster ▶

62 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	21.4 #18	27.1 #31	SEA
Yards / play	5.48 #10	5.68 #28	SEA
EPA / play	+0.01 #11	+0.08 #32	SEA
Success rate	44% #12	47% #32	SEA

When ARI has the ball

Even matchup

	ARI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	19.4 #24	23.9 #24	Even
Yards / play	5.05 #22	5.42 #23	Even
EPA / play	−0.09 #25	+0.04 #28	Even
Success rate	40% #25	45% #29	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	5.1 #8	5.3 #25	10.4 #19	4.9 #10	5.8 #19	10.7 #18
ARI allowed	5.6 #27	8.6 #28	14.2 #31	4.6 #18	8.3 #31	12.9 #29

ARI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	4.1 #20	6.5 #18	10.6 #18	4.2 #19	4.6 #28	8.8 #26
SEA allowed	4.9 #23	7.8 #25	12.7 #24	4.2 #13	7.0 #25	11.2 #19

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.