Rams @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2023)

Sun, Nov 26, 2023, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Arizona Cardinals · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Rams

4-6 · Power #9

▲ winner

Final

Arizona Cardinals

2-9 · Power #28

final

Closing spread

LAR -3

✓ LAR W

Total

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

LAR 26–23 ARI

✓ LAR (61%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLAR -3

Total45

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseLAR -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close45

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLAR -3

Total45

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAR as a 3-point road favorite at ARI, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: LAR won 37–14; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 45, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7 against an average line of 3.2; 46.2 points a game (usually 46.3). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	IND @ CAR 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-2.5	27–13	W	U45
Very close	ATL @ ARI 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & season form	-2	23–25	L	O43.5
Very close	SF @ DAL 2020 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & total	-3.5	33–41	L	O45.5
Very close	LAC @ DEN 2020 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	30–31	L	O44.5
Very close	TEN @ WSH 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	21–17	W	U43
Very close	GB @ CHI 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-4	28–19	W	O45.5
Very close	BAL @ PIT 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-4	19–20	L	U44
Very close	PHI @ DET 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	44–6	W	O48
Very close	CIN @ DET 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	34–11	W	U46.5
Very close	PHI @ NYG 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & rest	-3.5	7–13	L	U45

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAR WLLLL	1-4	20%	0-2	1-2
ARI LWLWW	4-3	57%	2-0	4-3

Venue/role: LAR away, as favorite; ARI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAR UUOUU	1-4	20%	4-6
ARI UOUOU	2-5	29%	2-9

Went over in Q4. Of 23 earlier overs in games with totals 42–48, 13% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAR	4-6 40%	1-4 20%	1-4 20%
ARI	2-8 20%	3-3 50%	2-4 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

LAR 29–21 ARI LAR leads · 50 games since 2002 · ARI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 15 2023	Arizona Cardinals 9 @ Los Angeles Rams 26	LAR -7.5	LAR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAR+7.8 →−0.5▼ 8.3#17

ARI−0.4 →−3.6▼ 3.2#30

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

LAR

Longer bar = better

ARI

#16

Offense

◀ LAR better

#25

#20

Defense

◀ LAR better

#27

−0.2 #20

Turnovers

Even

−0.2 #19

63 plays #17

Pace

◀ LAR faster

61 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	19.5 #22	25.8 #27	LAR
Yards / play	5.22 #15	5.38 #23	LAR
EPA / play	−0.02 #14	+0.04 #28	LAR
Success rate	43% #14	46% #30	LAR

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: LAR defense

	ARI off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	17.5 #25	22.0 #19	LAR
Yards / play	4.91 #24	5.29 #18	LAR
EPA / play	−0.14 #27	0.00 #23	Even
Success rate	40% #24	43% #19	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LAR scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	4.0 #19	5.8 #20	9.8 #22	4.2 #15	4.9 #26	9.1 #24
ARI allowed	4.6 #17	8.1 #24	12.7 #23	4.9 #20	8.2 #31	13.1 #29

ARI scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	4.1 #18	7.4 #13	11.5 #14	3.5 #21	2.5 #31	6.0 #31
LAR allowed	4.4 #16	7.4 #17	11.8 #17	3.7 #14	6.5 #22	10.2 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.