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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 12 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 12: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 12-4 ATS4 upsetsO/U 9-7Model Favorite 12-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS12-475% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under9-756% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
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Thursday, Nov 23

3
Final · Division
Green Bay Packers
4-6 · #10
29
Detroit Lions
8-2 · #6
22
Spread
DET -8.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
21–30
✗ DET lost
Trend: DET ATS ✗ Model: GB by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Washington Commanders
4-7 · #32
10
Dallas Cowboys
7-3 · #3
45
Spread
DAL -13
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
20–32
✓ DAL won
Model: WSH by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
San Francisco 49ers
7-3 · #1
31
Seattle Seahawks
6-4 · #20
13
Spread
SF -7
✓ SF W ATS
Total
43
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
28–21
✓ SF won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Friday, Nov 24

1
Final · Division
Miami Dolphins
7-3 · #7
34
New York Jets
4-6 · #26
13
Spread
MIA -8.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
29–20
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYJ by 0 ✗ Model: Over 8.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Nov 26

11
Final · Division
New Orleans Saints
5-5 · #11
15
Atlanta Falcons
4-6 · #24
24
Spread
NO -2
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
42
▼ Under 39
Projected
25–23
✗ NO lost
Trend: NO ATS ✗ Model: NO by 0 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-4 · #19
16
Cincinnati Bengals
5-5 · #17
10
Spread
PIT -2
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
36
▼ Under 26
Projected
22–20
✓ PIT won
Model: CIN by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
1-9 · #31
10
Tennessee Titans
3-7 · #27
17
Spread
TEN -3.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
36
▼ Under 27
Projected
18–22
✓ TEN won
Trend: CAR ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TEN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-6 · #14
20
Indianapolis Colts
5-5 · #21
27
Spread
IND -2.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✓ IND won
Trend: TB ATS ✗ Model: IND by 0 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
2-8 · #29
7
New York Giants
3-8 · #30
10
Spread
NE -4.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
36
▼ Under 17
Projected
24–20
✗ NE lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✓ Model: NYG by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Jacksonville Jaguars
7-3 · #12
24
Houston Texans
6-4 · #13
21
Spread
JAX -1
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
48
▼ Under 45
Projected
26–25
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: HOU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
7-3 · #8
12
Denver Broncos
5-5 · #25
29
Spread
DEN -2
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
37.5
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
23–24
✓ DEN won
Trend: CLE ATS ✗ Model: CLE by 8.5 ✗ Model: Over 10 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Los Angeles Rams
4-6 · #9
37
Arizona Cardinals
2-9 · #28
14
Spread
LAR -3
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
26–23
✓ LAR won
Trend: ARI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ARI by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Kansas City Chiefs
7-3 · #5
31
Las Vegas Raiders
5-6 · #23
17
Spread
KC -9
✓ KC W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
27–18
✓ KC won
Trend: LV ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: KC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
6-5 · #4
34
Philadelphia Eagles
9-1 · #16
37
Spread
PHI -2.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
25–27
✓ PHI won
Model: PHI by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
8-3 · #2
20
Los Angeles Chargers
4-6 · #22
10
Spread
BAL -3
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
49
▼ Under 30
Projected
28–24
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✓ Model: BAL by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Nov 27

1
Final · Division
Chicago Bears
3-8 · #18
12
Minnesota Vikings
6-5 · #15
10
Spread
MIN -3
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 22
Projected
24–27
✗ MIN lost
Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: MIN by 2 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total