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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 11 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 11: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
14 finalFavorites 5-9 ATS3 upsetsO/U 4-10Model Favorite 11-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS5-936% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under4-1029% over
Model Favorite11-379% won
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Thursday, Nov 16

1
Final · Division
Cincinnati Bengals
5-4 · #17
20
Baltimore Ravens
7-3 · #2
34
Spread
BAL -3.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
22–26
✓ BAL won
Trend: CIN ATS ✗ Model: BAL by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Nov 19

12
Final · Division
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-3 · #19
10
Cleveland Browns
6-3 · #8
13
Spread
CLE -2.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
34
▼ Under 23
Projected
19–23
✓ CLE won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 7 ✓ Model: Over 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Chicago Bears
3-7 · #18
26
Detroit Lions
7-2 · #6
31
Spread
DET -8
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
22–31
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✗ Model: DET by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
4-5 · #22
20
Green Bay Packers
3-6 · #10
23
Spread
LAC -3
✓ GB W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 43
Projected
27–24
✗ LAC lost
Trend: LAC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: GB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
5-5 · #23
13
Miami Dolphins
6-3 · #7
20
Spread
MIA -13.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 33
Projected
19–32
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LV by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New York Giants
2-8 · #30
31
Washington Commanders
4-6 · #32
19
Spread
WSH -7.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
39
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
20–27
✗ WSH lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✓ Model: NYG by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
6-3 · #3
33
Carolina Panthers
1-8 · #31
10
Spread
DAL -11
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 43
Projected
30–19
✓ DAL won
Trend: DAL ATS ✓ Model: DAL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Tennessee Titans
3-6 · #27
14
Jacksonville Jaguars
6-3 · #12
34
Spread
JAX -6.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: TEN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
2-8 · #28
16
Houston Texans
5-4 · #13
21
Spread
HOU -5.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
48
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–28
✓ HOU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-5 · #14
14
San Francisco 49ers
6-3 · #1
27
Spread
SF -13.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
42
▼ Under 41
Projected
16–29
✓ SF won
Trend: TB ATS ✓ Model: TB by 4 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
New York Jets
4-5 · #26
6
Buffalo Bills
5-5 · #4
32
Spread
BUF -8.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
39
▼ Under 38
Projected
19–28
✓ BUF won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BUF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Seattle Seahawks
6-3 · #20
16
Los Angeles Rams
3-6 · #9
17
Spread
LAR -2
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 33
Projected
20–22
✓ LAR won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: SEA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
6-4 · #15
20
Denver Broncos
4-5 · #25
21
Spread
DEN -2.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 41
Projected
23–25
✓ DEN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIN by 6 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Nov 20

1
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
8-1 · #16
21
Kansas City Chiefs
7-2 · #5
17
Spread
KC -2
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
23–25
✗ KC lost
Trend: KC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: KC by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total