FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 9: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

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Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS10-471% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under3-925% over
Model Favorite11-379% won
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Thursday, Nov 2

1
Final · Non-conf
3-4 · #27
16
4-3 · #19
20
Spread
PIT -3
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
36
Push 36
Projected
20–23
✓ PIT won
Model: PIT by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Nov 5

12
Final · Neutral
6-2 · #7
14
6-2 · #5
21
Spread
MIA -1
✓ KC W ATS
Total
51
▼ Under 35
Projected
26–26
✗ MIA lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: KC by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
4-4 · #15
31
4-4 · #24
28
Spread
ATL -4.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
37.5
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
22–25
✗ ATL lost
Model: MIN by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-7 · #28
0
4-3 · #8
27
Spread
CLE -7.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
38.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
19–26
✓ CLE won
Model: ARI by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
3-5 · #9
3
2-5 · #10
20
Spread
GB -3
✓ GB W ATS
Total
39.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
24–26
✓ GB won
Model: LAR by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 11 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
20
17
Spread
NE -2.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
40
▼ Under 37
Projected
22–24
✗ NE lost
Trend: WSH ATS ✓ Model: WSH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
2-6 · #18
17
4-4 · #11
24
Spread
NO -6.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
41
Push 41
Projected
22–29
✓ NO won
Model: NO by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 10.5 Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
5-2 · #20
3
6-2 · #2
37
Spread
BAL -6
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 40
Projected
22–28
✓ BAL won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗ Model: SEA by 2 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
37
3-4 · #13
39
Spread
HOU -2.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
39.5
▲ Over 76 · Q3
Projected
21–24
✓ HOU won
Model: HOU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
3-5 · #21
27
1-6 · #31
13
Spread
IND -2.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
45
▼ Under 40
Projected
28–26
✓ IND won
Model: IND by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 9 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
2-6 · #30
6
3-5 · #23
30
Spread
LV -3
✓ LV W ATS
Total
38.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
19–22
✓ LV won
Trend: NYG ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LV by 3 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
5-2 · #3
23
7-1 · #16
28
Spread
PHI -3.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
25–28
✓ PHI won
Model: DAL by 2 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
5-3 · #4
18
4-3 · #17
24
Spread
CIN -2.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
24–26
✓ CIN won
Model: BUF by 6 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Nov 6

1
Final · Non-conf
27
4-3 · #26
6
Spread
LAC -2
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
42
▼ Under 33
Projected
25–23
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓ Model: LAC by 2 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total