Seahawks @ Ravens: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2023)

Sun, Nov 5, 2023, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 9 · at Baltimore Ravens

Weather at kickoff71°F8 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

5-2 · Power #20

final

Final

Baltimore Ravens

6-2 · Power #2

▲ winner

Closing spread

BAL -6

✓ BAL W

Total

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 22–28 BAL

✓ BAL (70%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseBAL -6

Total44

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseBAL -6

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close44

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseBAL -6

Total44

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BAL as a 6-point home favorite against SEA, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: BAL won 37–3; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 40 points stayed under 44, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.5 against an average line of 6; 49.1 points a game (usually 47.2). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SF vs MIA 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-5	33–17	W	O45.5
Very close	PHI vs DAL 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	26–17	W	O42.5
Very close	LAR vs CHI 2020 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & situation	-6.5	24–10	W	U44
Very close	NE vs TEN 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & season form	-7	36–13	W	O43.5
Very close	DAL vs LAR 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-7	43–20	W	O44.5
Very close	BAL vs CIN 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-6	17–41	L	O46
Very close	LAR vs SF 2020 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & spread	-5.5	20–23	L	U44.5
Very close	BUF vs MIN 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	30–33	L	O46
Close	PHI vs NO 2022 · Week 17 · close · similar rest & situation	-5	10–20	L	U41.5
Close	DEN vs LV 2021 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & total	-5	24–34	L	O45

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA ––LWP	1-1-1	50%	0-1	0-1
BAL ––WWL	2-1	67%	1-0	2-1

Venue/role: SEA away, as underdog; BAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA ––UUO	1-2	33%	5-2
BAL ––UOO	2-1	67%	6-2

Stayed under: it needed 12 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 33% of games with totals 41–47 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEAlast 7	5-2 71%	1-1-1 50%	1-2 33%
BALlast 8	6-2 75%	2-1 67%	2-1 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

SEA 3–3 BAL Series tied · 6 games since 2003 · BAL has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−7.8 →+0.8▲ 8.6#12

BAL+2.2 →+4.3▲ 2.1#2

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

SEA

Longer bar = better

BAL

Offense

Even

Defense

BAL better ▶

+0.3 #11

Turnovers

Even

+0.1 #14

60 plays #26

Pace

BAL faster ▶

63 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: BAL defense

	SEA off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #11	15.1 #1	BAL
Yards / play	5.61 #7	4.16 #1	BAL
EPA / play	+0.05 #7	−0.19 #2	BAL
Success rate	48% #4	39% #4	Even

When BAL has the ball

Even matchup

	BAL off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	25.3 #7	19.7 #11	Even
Yards / play	5.53 #10	4.81 #5	SEA
EPA / play	+0.04 #9	−0.08 #10	Even
Success rate	47% #5	42% #11	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	7.3 #3	5.1 #24	12.4 #13	4.7 #10	6.0 #16	10.7 #11
BAL allowed	1.6 #1	3.6 #2	5.3 #1	2.5 #6	7.0 #23	9.5 #13

BAL scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	7.8 #2	7.0 #17	14.8 #6	5.4 #5	5.1 #24	10.5 #13
SEA allowed	4.9 #19	5.9 #8	10.7 #13	3.3 #11	5.7 #15	9.0 #11

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.