FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 5: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

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Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS1-150% covered
Upsets1outright
Over / Under1-150% over
Model Favorite6-843% won
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Thursday, Oct 5

1
Final · Non-conf
0-4 · #18
40
20
Spread
WSH -6
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
24–30
✗ WSH lost
Model: WSH by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 9 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Oct 8

12
Final · Neutral
25
3-1 · #4
20
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
20–33
✗ BUF lost
Final · Non-conf
2-2 · #13
19
2-2 · #24
21
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
27–16
✗ HOU lost
Final · Non-conf
0-4 · #31
24
3-1 · #6
42
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
17–34
✓ DET won
Final · Division
2-2 · #27
16
2-2 · #21
23
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
22–29
✓ IND won
Final · Non-conf
1-3 · #30
16
3-1 · #7
31
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
22–41
✓ MIA won
Final · Non-conf
2-2 · #11
34
0
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
13–20
✗ NE lost
Final · Division
3-1 · #2
10
2-2 · #19
17
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
29–20
✗ BAL lost
Final · Non-conf
4-0 · #16
23
2-2 · #9
14
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
28–31
✗ LAR lost
Final · Non-conf
1-3 · #17
34
1-3 · #28
20
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
23–27
✗ ARI lost
Final · Non-conf
1-3 · #26
31
1-3 · #25
21
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
27–27
✗ DEN lost
Final · Non-conf
3-1 · #5
27
1-3 · #15
20
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
28–19
✓ KC won
Final · Non-conf
3-1 · #3
10
42
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
24–25
✓ SF won

Monday, Oct 9

1
Final · Non-conf
2-2 · #10
13
1-3 · #23
17
Spread
LV -1
✓ LV W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
26–28
✓ LV won
Trend: GB ATS ✗ Model: LV by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 10.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total