Titans @ Colts: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Indianapolis Colts · Division game

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Tennessee Titans

2-2 · Power #27

final

Final

Indianapolis Colts

2-2 · Power #21

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

TEN 22–29 IND

✓ IND (75%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEN ––––	0-0	—	—	—
IND ––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: TEN away; IND home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEN ––––	0-0	—	2-2
IND ––––	0-0	—	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TENlast 4	2-2 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —
INDlast 4	2-2 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

TEN 16–34 IND IND leads · 50 games since 1999 · TEN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEN−0.8 →−3.3▼ 2.5#24

IND−3.9 →+3.3▲ 7.2#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

TEN

Longer bar = better

IND

#23

Offense

IND better ▶

#20

#14

Defense

◀ TEN better

#20

0.0 #16

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #13

57 plays #30

Pace

IND faster ▶

67 plays #11

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEN has the ball

Even matchup

	TEN off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	18.0 #23	24.8 #22	Even
Yards / play	4.89 #20	5.24 #19	Even
EPA / play	−0.09 #20	−0.05 #13	IND
Success rate	37% #30	46% #26	Even

When IND has the ball

Advantage: TEN defense

	IND off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	24.3 #14	17.5 #8	TEN
Yards / play	4.83 #23	5.04 #13	TEN
EPA / play	−0.09 #21	−0.04 #14	TEN
Success rate	41% #20	44% #20	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

TEN scoring against the IND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	2.3 #24	9.3 #8	11.5 #15	2.5 #27	3.3 #27	5.8 #32
IND allowed	8.8 #31	4.0 #3	12.8 #21	3.3 #12	7.3 #21	10.5 #15

IND scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IND scored	3.5 #19	7.8 #12	11.3 #17	7.0 #4	5.3 #23	12.3 #10
TEN allowed	3.0 #11	6.0 #10	9.0 #10	4.3 #17	4.3 #9	8.5 #11

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.