Bengals @ Titans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2023)

Sun, Oct 1, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Tennessee Titans

Weather at kickoff82°F3 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Cincinnati Bengals

1-2 · Power #17

final

Final

Tennessee Titans

1-2 · Power #27

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

CIN 24–23 TEN

✗ CIN (56%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN –––	0-0	—	—	—
TEN –––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: CIN away; TEN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN –––	0-0	—	1-2
TEN –––	0-0	—	1-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CINlast 3	1-2 33%	0-0 —	0-0 —
TENlast 3	1-2 33%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

CIN 9–10 TEN TEN leads · 19 games since 1999 · CIN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN−6.0 →−2.5▲ 3.5#22

TEN−0.8 →−4.3▼ 3.5#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

CIN

Longer bar = better

TEN

#29

Offense

Even

#30

#21

Defense

TEN better ▶

#18

+0.7 #10

Turnovers

◀ CIN better

0.0 #17

62 plays #20

Pace

◀ CIN faster

56 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: TEN defense

	CIN off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	15.3 #28	22.3 #17	TEN
Yards / play	3.96 #32	5.28 #17	TEN
EPA / play	−0.15 #26	+0.01 #22	Even
Success rate	35% #30	42% #14	TEN

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: CIN defense

	TEN off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #29	22.3 #16	CIN
Yards / play	4.31 #29	5.45 #24	CIN
EPA / play	−0.19 #28	0.00 #19	CIN
Success rate	34% #32	46% #26	CIN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CIN scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	0.0 #30	5.3 #22	5.3 #28	6.7 #5	3.3 #27	10.0 #22
TEN allowed	3.0 #12	8.0 #19	11.0 #15	5.7 #21	5.7 #13	11.3 #15

TEN scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	2.0 #23	5.3 #22	7.3 #26	2.3 #24	4.3 #26	6.7 #28
CIN allowed	3.3 #15	6.3 #12	9.7 #11	4.3 #17	8.3 #23	12.7 #20

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.