Steelers @ Texans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2023)

Sun, Oct 1, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Houston Texans

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Pittsburgh Steelers

2-1 · Power #19

final

Final

Houston Texans

1-2 · Power #13

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

PIT 29–29 HOU

✓ HOU (51%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PIT ––W	1-0	100%	1-0	—
HOU –––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: PIT away; HOU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PIT ––U	0-1	0%	2-1
HOU –––	0-0	—	1-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PITlast 3	2-1 67%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%
HOUlast 3	1-2 33%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PIT 5–4 HOU PIT leads · 9 games since 2002 · HOU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PIT−7.9 →−0.4▲ 7.5#13

HOU−2.2 →−1.7▲ 0.5#19

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

PIT

Longer bar = better

HOU

#26

Offense

HOU better ▶

#20

#18

Defense

◀ PIT better

#25

+1.3 #3

Turnovers

◀ PIT better

+0.7 #13

58 plays #26

Pace

HOU faster ▶

69 plays #7

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PIT has the ball

Even matchup

	PIT off	HOU def	Edge
Points / game	18.7 #22	24.3 #23	Even
Yards / play	4.75 #22	5.58 #26	Even
EPA / play	−0.23 #31	+0.04 #24	HOU
Success rate	35% #29	46% #25	Even

When HOU has the ball

Even matchup

	HOU off	PIT def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #18	23.3 #20	Even
Yards / play	4.94 #18	5.43 #22	Even
EPA / play	−0.04 #17	−0.08 #13	Even
Success rate	39% #28	44% #17	PIT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PIT scoring against the HOU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PIT scored	4.7 #12	7.3 #13	12.0 #13	4.3 #16	2.3 #28	6.7 #28
HOU allowed	7.0 #28	4.7 #8	11.7 #19	9.3 #30	3.3 #5	12.7 #20

HOU scoring against the PIT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HOU scored	4.7 #12	6.3 #17	11.0 #14	2.3 #24	8.7 #8	11.0 #15
PIT allowed	6.7 #25	7.0 #15	13.7 #25	5.0 #19	4.7 #11	9.7 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.