Ravens @ Steelers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Pittsburgh Steelers · Division game

Weather at kickoff54°F15 mphgusts 31DryWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Baltimore Ravens

3-1 · Power #2

final

Final

Pittsburgh Steelers

2-2 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

BAL 29–20 PIT

✗ BAL (80%) lost

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BAL ––––	0-0	—	—	—
PIT ––W–	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: BAL away; PIT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BAL ––––	0-0	—	3-1
PIT ––U–	0-1	0%	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BALlast 4	3-1 75%	0-0 —	0-0 —
PITlast 4	2-2 50%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

BAL 26–33 PIT PIT leads · 59 games since 1999 · PIT has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BAL+2.2 →+7.5▲ 5.3#4

PIT−7.9 →−2.2▲ 5.7#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

BAL

Longer bar = better

PIT

#11

Offense

◀ BAL better

#30

Defense

◀ BAL better

#22

0.0 #17

Turnovers

PIT better ▶

+0.8 #9

64 plays #16

Pace

◀ BAL faster

58 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	PIT def	Edge
Points / game	24.8 #12	25.0 #23	BAL
Yards / play	5.25 #15	5.70 #25	BAL
EPA / play	+0.02 #13	−0.03 #17	Even
Success rate	48% #5	44% #22	BAL

When PIT has the ball

Advantage: BAL defense

	PIT off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #27	14.5 #4	BAL
Yards / play	4.57 #27	3.75 #1	BAL
EPA / play	−0.24 #32	−0.22 #3	BAL
Success rate	35% #32	38% #2	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

BAL scoring against the PIT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	7.0 #6	5.0 #24	12.0 #14	7.3 #3	5.5 #21	12.8 #8
PIT allowed	7.5 #28	6.8 #17	14.3 #24	3.8 #14	7.0 #19	10.8 #16

PIT scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PIT scored	3.5 #19	5.5 #22	9.0 #21	4.8 #11	1.8 #31	6.5 #28
BAL allowed	0.8 #1	6.5 #13	7.3 #4	2.5 #8	4.0 #8	6.5 #5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.