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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 4 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 4: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 1-1 ATS0 upsetsO/U 1-1Model Favorite 13-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS1-150% covered
Upsets0outright
Over / Under1-150% over
Model Favorite13-381% won
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Thursday, Sep 28

1
Final · Division
Detroit Lions
2-1 · #6
34
Green Bay Packers
2-1 · #10
20
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
31–27
✓ DET won

Sunday, Oct 1

14
Final · Neutral
Atlanta Falcons
2-1 · #24
7
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-2 · #12
23
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
20–21
✓ JAX won
Final · Division
Miami Dolphins
3-0 · #7
20
Buffalo Bills
2-1 · #4
48
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
34–34
✓ BUF won
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
0-3 · #25
31
Chicago Bears
0-3 · #18
28
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
37–24
✓ DEN won
Final · Division
Baltimore Ravens
2-1 · #2
28
Cleveland Browns
2-1 · #8
3
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
15–24
✗ CLE lost
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
1-2 · #17
3
Tennessee Titans
1-2 · #27
27
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
24–23
✗ CIN lost
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
1-2 · #9
29
Indianapolis Colts
2-1 · #21
23
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
29–22
✓ LAR won
Final · Division
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2-1 · #14
26
New Orleans Saints
2-1 · #11
9
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
15–20
✗ NO lost
Final · Division
Washington Commanders
2-1 · #32
31
Philadelphia Eagles
3-0 · #16
34
Spread
PHI -8.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
25–34
✓ PHI won
Model: PHI by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 15 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
0-3 · #15
21
Carolina Panthers
0-3 · #31
13
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
29–25
✓ MIN won
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-1 · #19
6
Houston Texans
1-2 · #13
30
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
29–29
✓ HOU won
Final · Division
Las Vegas Raiders
1-2 · #23
17
Los Angeles Chargers
1-2 · #22
24
Spread
LAC -6.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
49
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–32
✓ LAC won
Model: LV by 3 ✗ Model: Over 8.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
1-2 · #29
3
Dallas Cowboys
2-1 · #3
38
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
14–20
✓ DAL won
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
1-2 · #28
16
San Francisco 49ers
3-0 · #1
35
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
18–34
✓ SF won
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
2-1 · #5
23
New York Jets
1-2 · #26
20
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
25–19
✓ KC won

Monday, Oct 2

1
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
2-1 · #20
24
New York Giants
1-2 · #30
3
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
30–29
✓ SEA won
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total