Chiefs @ Jets: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2023)

Sun, Oct 1, 2023, 8:20 PM EDTWeek 4 · at New York Jets

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Kansas City Chiefs

2-1 · Power #5

▲ winner

Final

New York Jets

1-2 · Power #26

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

KC 25–19 NYJ

✓ KC (73%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KC –––	0-0	—	—	—
NYJ –––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: KC away; NYJ home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC –––	0-0	—	2-1
NYJ –––	0-0	—	1-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KClast 3	2-1 67%	0-0 —	0-0 —
NYJlast 3	1-2 33%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

KC 6–5 NYJ KC leads · 11 games since 2001 · KC has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KC−1.7 →+1.3▲ 3.0#10

NYJ+1.0 →−1.3▼ 2.3#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

Longer bar = better

NYJ

Offense

◀ KC better

#31

Defense

◀ KC better

#14

−0.7 #24

Turnovers

Even

−0.3 #21

67 plays #9

Pace

◀ KC faster

53 plays #32

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KC has the ball

Advantage: KC offense

	KC off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #9	20.3 #12	Even
Yards / play	5.83 #6	4.79 #9	Even
EPA / play	+0.09 #7	0.00 #20	KC
Success rate	44% #13	43% #16	Even

When NYJ has the ball

Advantage: KC defense

	NYJ off	KC def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #30	13.3 #2	KC
Yards / play	4.22 #30	4.55 #5	KC
EPA / play	−0.33 #32	−0.19 #5	KC
Success rate	34% #32	39% #4	KC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

KC scoring against the NYJ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KC scored	2.3 #23	16.0 #1	18.3 #5	5.7 #9	2.0 #30	7.7 #24
NYJ allowed	4.3 #19	9.3 #27	13.7 #23	3.0 #10	3.7 #8	6.7 #6

NYJ scoring against the KC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYJ scored	0.0 #31	5.3 #24	5.3 #29	1.0 #30	5.7 #21	6.7 #28
KC allowed	2.3 #7	2.0 #1	4.3 #1	2.3 #7	6.7 #17	9.0 #12

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.