Cardinals @ 49ers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2023)

Sun, Oct 1, 2023, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 4 · at San Francisco 49ers · Division game

Weather at kickoff72°F7 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Arizona Cardinals

1-2 · Power #28

final

Final

San Francisco 49ers

3-0 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

—

Total

—

Model before kickoff

ARI 18–34 SF

✓ SF (94%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI W––	1-0	100%	1-0	—
SF –––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: ARI away; SF home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI U––	0-1	0%	1-2
SF –––	0-0	—	3-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARIlast 3	1-2 33%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%
SFlast 3	3-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

ARI 22–29 SF SF leads · 51 games since 1999 · SF has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI−0.4 →−0.6▼ 0.2#15

SF+7.9 →+12.4▲ 4.5#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

ARI

Longer bar = better

#12

Offense

SF better ▶

#21

Defense

SF better ▶

+1.0 #8

Turnovers

SF better ▶

+1.3 #4

57 plays #29

Pace

SF faster ▶

66 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: SF defense

	ARI off	SF def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #13	14.0 #5	SF
Yards / play	5.78 #6	4.19 #3	Even
EPA / play	+0.01 #12	−0.19 #4	SF
Success rate	43% #16	41% #13	Even

When SF has the ball

Advantage: SF offense

	SF off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #3	22.3 #18	SF
Yards / play	6.05 #4	5.33 #19	SF
EPA / play	+0.16 #2	0.00 #20	SF
Success rate	45% #8	47% #27	SF

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the SF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	6.3 #11	11.7 #4	18.0 #4	3.7 #19	2.3 #30	6.0 #31
SF allowed	2.0 #5	8.0 #21	10.0 #13	2.0 #6	2.0 #1	4.0 #2

SF scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SF scored	6.7 #10	11.3 #5	18.0 #4	4.3 #15	7.7 #9	12.0 #10
ARI allowed	3.3 #15	3.3 #3	6.7 #3	5.7 #23	10.0 #27	15.7 #28

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.