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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 17 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 17: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 9-7 ATS3 upsetsO/U 9-7Model Favorite 13-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS9-756% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under9-756% over
Model Favorite13-381% won
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Thursday, Dec 28

1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
6-9 · #26
20
Cleveland Browns
10-5 · #8
37
Spread
CLE -7
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
33.5
▲ Over 57 · Q2
Projected
16–23
✓ CLE won
Trend: CLE ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 30

1
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
11-4 · #6
19
Dallas Cowboys
10-5 · #3
20
Spread
DAL -4.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 39
Projected
25–29
✓ DAL won
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Model: DET by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Dec 31

14
Final · Division
New England Patriots
4-11 · #29
21
Buffalo Bills
9-6 · #4
27
Spread
BUF -15.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 48 · Q3
Projected
15–30
✓ BUF won
Model: NE by 3 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
7-8 · #24
17
Chicago Bears
6-9 · #18
37
Spread
CHI -2.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
39.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
20–23
✓ CHI won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ATL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
7-8 · #23
20
Indianapolis Colts
8-7 · #21
23
Spread
IND -3.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✗ Model: LV by 1 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
8-7 · #9
26
New York Giants
5-10 · #30
25
Spread
LAR -6
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
26–20
✓ LAR won
Model: LAR by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
3-12 · #28
35
Philadelphia Eagles
11-4 · #16
31
Spread
PHI -12.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
19–31
✗ PHI lost
Model: ARI by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
New Orleans Saints
7-8 · #11
23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-7 · #14
13
Spread
TB -2.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
22–24
✗ TB lost
Trend: TB ATS ✗ Model: NO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
11-4 · #1
27
Washington Commanders
4-11 · #32
10
Spread
SF -14
✓ SF W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
33–19
✓ SF won
Trend: SF ATS ✓ Model: SF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
2-13 · #31
0
Jacksonville Jaguars
8-7 · #12
26
Spread
JAX -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
38
▼ Under 26
Projected
19–23
✓ JAX won
Model: JAX by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
11-4 · #7
19
Baltimore Ravens
12-3 · #2
56
Spread
BAL -3
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 75 · Q3
Projected
24–27
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✓ Model: MIA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Tennessee Titans
5-10 · #27
3
Houston Texans
8-7 · #13
26
Spread
HOU -5.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 29
Projected
21–27
✓ HOU won
Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
8-7 · #19
30
Seattle Seahawks
8-7 · #20
23
Spread
SEA -4
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 53 · Q3
Projected
21–25
✗ SEA lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: PIT by 2 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Los Angeles Chargers
5-10 · #22
9
Denver Broncos
7-8 · #25
16
Spread
DEN -3.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
39
▼ Under 25
Projected
24–27
✓ DEN won
Model: LAC by 4 ✗ Model: Over 12.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
8-7 · #17
17
Kansas City Chiefs
9-6 · #5
25
Spread
KC -7.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 42
Projected
18–26
✓ KC won
Model: CIN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Green Bay Packers
7-8 · #10
33
Minnesota Vikings
7-8 · #15
10
Spread
GB -1
✓ GB W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
25–24
✓ GB won
Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: MIN by 2 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total