Packers @ Cowboys: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (NFC Wild Card Playoffs, 2023)

Sun, Jan 14, 2024, 4:30 PM ESTNFC Wild Card Playoffs · at Dallas Cowboys

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Green Bay Packers

9-8 · Power #10

▲ winner

Final

Dallas Cowboys

12-5 · Power #3

final

Closing spread

DAL -7

✓ GB W

Total

▲ Over · 80 pts

Model before kickoff

GB 22–29 DAL

✗ DAL (74%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDAL -7

Total52

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseDAL -7

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close52

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDAL -7

Total52

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DAL as a 7-point home favorite against GB, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: GB won 48–32 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 80 points went over 52, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1.4 against an average line of 6.9; 60.4 points a game (usually 47.4). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TB vs ATL 2020 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	44–27	W	O51
Very close	KC vs LV 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & total	-7	30–29	L	O51.5
Very close	KC vs CIN 2021 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	24–27	L	U54.5
Very close	BUF vs IND 2020 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	27–24	L	O50.5
Very close	BUF vs IND 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	15–41	L	O50
Very close	LAR vs TEN 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	16–28	L	U53
Very close	DAL vs LV 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-7.5	33–36	L	O51
Very close	NO vs MIN 2020 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	52–33	W	O50
Very close	BAL vs TEN 2020 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & season form	-6	24–30	L	O50.5
Very close	DAL vs NYG 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	44–20	W	O53

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GB LLLWW	7-6	54%	3-4	4-2
DAL WLLLW	7-5	58%	4-2	7-2

Venue/role: GB away, as underdog; DAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GB OOOOU	7-6	54%	9-8
DAL UUUUO	6-6	50%	12-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GB	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
DAL	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

GB 12–4 DAL (1 tied) GB leads · 17 games since 1999 · GB has won the last 6 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GB+5.2 →+0.3▼ 4.9#12

DAL+9.1 →+5.6▼ 3.5#3

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW18

Longer bar = better

DAL

Offense

DAL better ▶

#21

Defense

DAL better ▶

0.0 #17

Turnovers

DAL better ▶

+0.6 #8

62 plays #23

Pace

DAL faster ▶

66 plays #3

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GB has the ball

Even matchup

	GB off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #13	18.5 #5	DAL
Yards / play	5.58 #8	5.02 #9	Even
EPA / play	+0.06 #6	−0.11 #4	Even
Success rate	45% #9	43% #17	GB

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	GB def	Edge
Points / game	29.9 #1	20.6 #11	DAL
Yards / play	5.63 #6	5.37 #20	DAL
EPA / play	+0.11 #3	+0.01 #24	DAL
Success rate	47% #3	45% #27	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

GB scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GB scored	4.6 #14	5.4 #25	9.9 #21	6.8 #1	5.8 #19	12.6 #6
DAL allowed	3.3 #7	6.8 #15	10.1 #12	4.5 #18	3.9 #3	8.4 #7

DAL scoring against the GB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	7.6 #1	9.8 #2	17.4 #1	4.1 #21	8.5 #2	12.5 #7
GB allowed	3.8 #12	6.1 #10	9.9 #10	5.1 #24	5.6 #11	10.6 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.