Giants @ Bills: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2023)

Sun, Oct 15, 2023, 8:20 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Buffalo Bills

Weather at kickoff44°F6 mphgusts 14Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

New York Giants

1-4 · Power #30

final

Final

Buffalo Bills

3-2 · Power #4

▲ winner

Closing spread

BUF -15.5

✓ NYG W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 23 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 14–31 BUF

✓ BUF (93%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseBUF -15.5

Total42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG –––––	0-0	—	—	—
BUF –WW––	2-0	100%	1-0	2-0

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; BUF home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG –––––	0-0	—	1-4
BUF –––––	0-0	—	3-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYGlast 5	1-4 20%	0-0 —	0-0 —
BUFlast 5	3-2 60%	2-0 100%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYG 4–3 BUF NYG leads · 7 games since 1999 · BUF has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−9.1 →−9.7▼ 0.6#32

BUF−1.0 →+8.4▲ 9.4#2

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

NYG

Longer bar = better

BUF

#31

Offense

BUF better ▶

#30

Defense

BUF better ▶

#15

−1.0 #28

Turnovers

BUF better ▶

+1.2 #5

64 plays #15

Pace

Even

63 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: BUF defense

	NYG off	BUF def	Edge
Points / game	12.4 #31	16.0 #6	BUF
Yards / play	3.99 #32	5.75 #28	Even
EPA / play	−0.22 #31	−0.12 #8	BUF
Success rate	39% #29	44% #16	BUF

When BUF has the ball

Advantage: BUF offense

	BUF off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	31.8 #2	30.6 #30	BUF
Yards / play	6.16 #2	6.34 #31	BUF
EPA / play	+0.21 #2	+0.09 #30	BUF
Success rate	53% #2	46% #28	BUF

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the BUF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	0.6 #32	3.2 #30	3.8 #32	4.6 #11	4.0 #27	8.6 #24
BUF allowed	5.0 #20	2.6 #1	7.6 #6	1.8 #6	5.4 #13	7.2 #5

BUF scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BUF scored	6.8 #7	10.8 #6	17.6 #4	3.4 #23	10.8 #1	14.2 #3
NYG allowed	8.0 #31	10.8 #31	18.8 #32	7.8 #31	4.0 #5	11.8 #25

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.