Jets @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2023)

Sun, Oct 29, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at New York Giants

Weather at kickoff55°F11 mphgusts 21Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

New York Jets

3-3 · Power #26

▲ winner

Final

New York Giants

2-5 · Power #30

final

Closing spread

NYJ -3

Push

Total

34.5

▼ Under · 23 pts

Model before kickoff

NYJ 24–21 NYG

✓ NYJ (59%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseNYJ -3

Total34.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseNYJ -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close34.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseNYJ -3

Total34.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 4 games most like NYJ as a 3-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 0, covered 0, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: NYJ won 13–10; the favorite pushed, as in 0 of the 4 similar games. 23 points stayed under 34.5, as in 2 of 4.

Favorite won

0 of 40%

Below normal · usually 56%

Favorite covered

0 of 40%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

2 of 450%

Normal range · usually 47%

Only 4 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: underdog by 18.7 against an average line of 1.9; 40.3 points a game (usually 46.6). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 4 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	WSH @ NYG 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	7–14	L	U36.5
Close	LV @ CHI 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-1.5	12–30	L	O37.5
Loose	DEN @ LAR 2022 · Week 16 · loose · similar situation & total	-1.5	14–51	L	O36.5
Loose	DEN @ CAR 2022 · Week 12 · loose · similar total & situation	-1	10–23	L	U36

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYJ ––––W	1-0	100%	—	—
NYG –––WW	2-0	100%	1-0	2-0

Venue/role: NYJ away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYJ ––––U	0-1	0%	3-3
NYG –––UU	0-2	0%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYJlast 6	3-3 50%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%
NYGlast 7	2-5 29%	2-0 100%	0-2 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYJ 3–4 NYG NYG leads · 7 games since 1999 · NYJ has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYJ+1.0 →−1.0▼ 2.0#20

NYG−9.1 →−4.4▲ 4.7#32

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

NYJ

Longer bar = better

NYG

#26

Offense

Even

#29

#15

Defense

◀ NYJ better

#25

+0.8 #9

Turnovers

◀ NYJ better

−0.6 #27

56 plays #30

Pace

NYG faster ▶

65 plays #12

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYJ has the ball

Even matchup

	NYJ off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	18.8 #22	24.9 #23	Even
Yards / play	4.92 #22	5.80 #30	NYJ
EPA / play	−0.17 #29	+0.03 #25	Even
Success rate	38% #31	45% #23	NYG

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: NYJ defense

	NYG off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	12.1 #32	19.8 #13	NYJ
Yards / play	4.26 #31	5.12 #15	NYJ
EPA / play	−0.19 #31	−0.03 #16	NYJ
Success rate	41% #21	43% #15	NYJ

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYJ scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYJ scored	0.8 #32	6.7 #17	7.5 #27	4.0 #17	6.3 #15	10.3 #13
NYG allowed	5.7 #25	7.7 #18	13.4 #24	6.6 #28	4.9 #12	11.4 #24

NYG scoring against the NYJ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	0.9 #31	4.7 #26	5.6 #31	3.3 #21	3.3 #29	6.6 #31
NYJ allowed	7.3 #32	7.3 #17	14.7 #29	1.5 #1	3.7 #3	5.2 #1

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.