Giants @ Cowboys: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2023)

Sun, Nov 12, 2023, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Dallas Cowboys · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

New York Giants

2-7 · Power #30

final

Final

Dallas Cowboys

5-3 · Power #3

▲ winner

Closing spread

DAL -17.5

✓ DAL W

Total

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 15–32 DAL

✓ DAL (94%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDAL -17.5

Total39

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseDAL -17.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close39

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDAL -17.5

Total39

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 6 games most like DAL as a 17.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 5, covered 2, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: DAL won 49–17; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 6 similar games. 66 points went over 39, as in 2 of 6.

Favorite won

5 of 683%

Normal range · usually 89%

Favorite covered

2 of 540%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

2 of 633%

Normal range · usually 22%

Only 6 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 13.3 against an average line of 16.6; 44 points a game (usually 43.4). When games like this go over ›

All 6 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NE vs JAX 2021 · Week 17 · very close · similar rest & spread	-17	50–10	W	O41.5
Close	DAL vs HOU 2022 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread	-17	27–23	L	O44.5
Close	KC vs LAR 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest	-16	26–10	P	U42
Close	PHI vs NYG 2022 · Week 18 · close · similar rest & spread	-17	22–16	L	U43
Close	LAR vs NYJ 2020 · Week 15 · close · similar spread & situation	-17	20–23	L	U44.5
Loose	BUF vs NYJ 2021 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & season form	-15.5	27–10	W	U42.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG –WWPL	2-1-1	67%	1-1	2-1-1
DAL ––WWL	2-1	67%	1-0	2-0

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; DAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG –UUUU	0-4	0%	2-7
DAL ––UOO	2-1	67%	5-3

Went over in Q3. Of 10 earlier overs in games with totals 36–42, 50% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYGlast 9	2-7 22%	2-1-1 67%	0-4 0%
DALlast 8	5-3 63%	2-1 67%	2-1 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

NYG 24–32 DAL DAL leads · 56 games since 1999 · NYG has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 10 2023	Dallas Cowboys 40 @ New York Giants 0	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−9.1 →−5.2▲ 3.9#32

DAL+9.1 →+4.0▼ 5.1#4

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

NYG

Longer bar = better

DAL

#31

Offense

DAL better ▶

#22

Defense

DAL better ▶

−0.4 #26

Turnovers

DAL better ▶

+0.6 #8

66 plays #10

Pace

Even

66 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: DAL defense

	NYG off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	11.2 #32	18.5 #6	DAL
Yards / play	4.10 #32	4.97 #7	DAL
EPA / play	−0.23 #31	−0.13 #3	DAL
Success rate	38% #29	43% #12	DAL

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	27.5 #3	24.1 #24	DAL
Yards / play	5.28 #14	5.59 #28	DAL
EPA / play	+0.04 #7	−0.03 #16	DAL
Success rate	45% #10	44% #20	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	1.0 #32	3.7 #31	4.7 #32	3.3 #24	3.2 #29	6.6 #30
DAL allowed	4.5 #20	6.1 #11	10.6 #11	4.0 #15	3.9 #3	7.9 #5

DAL scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	8.4 #1	10.3 #3	18.6 #1	3.1 #28	5.8 #19	8.9 #24
NYG allowed	6.0 #28	7.9 #24	13.9 #30	5.4 #25	4.4 #9	9.9 #15

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.