Raiders @ Lions: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2023)

Mon, Oct 30, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Detroit Lions

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Las Vegas Raiders

3-4 · Power #23

final

Final

Detroit Lions

5-2 · Power #6

▲ winner

Closing spread

DET -7

✓ DET W

Total

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

LV 21–28 DET

✓ DET (74%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDET -7

Total46

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseDET -7

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close46

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDET -7

Total46

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DET as a 7-point home favorite against LV, the favorite won 8, covered 2, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: DET won 26–14; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 40 points stayed under 46, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.9 against an average line of 6.9; 47.7 points a game (usually 47.6). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BAL vs CLE 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & spread	-6.5	23–20	L	U46.5
Very close	BAL vs IND 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-7.5	31–25	L	O46.5
Very close	MIA vs PIT 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	16–10	L	U44
Very close	CLE vs CHI 2021 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	26–6	W	U44.5
Very close	NO vs LAC 2020 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7	30–27	L	O48.5
Very close	LAR vs SEA 2021 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	20–10	W	U47
Very close	IND vs CIN 2020 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & total	-7.5	31–27	L	O45.5
Very close	HOU vs CIN 2020 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & total	-7	31–37	L	O45.5
Very close	LAC vs PIT 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-6.5	41–37	L	O47.5
Very close	LV vs CHI 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & situation	-5.5	9–20	L	U46

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LV LLWWL	3-4	43%	1-3	1-2
DET –––WL	1-1	50%	—	1-0

Venue/role: LV away, as underdog; DET home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LV UUUUO	1-5	17%	3-4
DET –––UO	1-1	50%	5-2

Stayed under: it needed 10 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 42% of games with totals 43–49 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LVlast 7	3-4 43%	3-4 43%	1-5 17%
DETlast 7	5-2 71%	1-1 50%	1-1 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

LV 1–5 DET DET leads · 6 games since 2003 · DET has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LV0.0 →−3.2▼ 3.2#27

DET+1.7 →+2.8▲ 1.1#7

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

Longer bar = better

DET

#24

Offense

DET better ▶

#23

Defense

DET better ▶

#16

−1.4 #32

Turnovers

DET better ▶

+0.3 #11

60 plays #26

Pace

DET faster ▶

67 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LV has the ball

Advantage: DET defense

	LV off	DET def	Edge
Points / game	16.0 #30	21.6 #19	DET
Yards / play	4.75 #26	5.27 #18	DET
EPA / play	−0.10 #24	−0.05 #14	DET
Success rate	43% #15	43% #14	Even

When DET has the ball

Advantage: DET offense

	DET off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	24.9 #8	23.0 #21	DET
Yards / play	5.59 #7	5.07 #13	DET
EPA / play	+0.05 #7	+0.05 #28	DET
Success rate	46% #7	47% #29	DET

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LV scoring against the DET defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	4.4 #18	4.1 #28	8.6 #26	0.9 #32	6.6 #15	7.4 #29
DET allowed	3.4 #8	6.3 #13	9.7 #7	4.4 #20	6.6 #18	11.0 #22

DET scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DET scored	6.9 #4	7.3 #12	14.1 #7	3.0 #23	7.7 #5	10.7 #11
LV allowed	5.3 #22	7.7 #22	13.0 #25	5.9 #27	4.1 #7	10.0 #15

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.