Chargers @ Raiders: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2023)

Thu, Dec 14, 2023, 8:15 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Las Vegas Raiders · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Chargers

5-8 · Power #22

final

Final

Las Vegas Raiders

5-8 · Power #23

▲ winner

Closing spread

LV -3

✓ LV W

Total

▲ Over · 84 pts

Model before kickoff

LAC 22–25 LV

✓ LV (58%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLV -3

Total36

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseLV -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close36

Line context

Home favorites of 1–5 since 2023: won 67%, covered 53% (46 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLV -3

Total36

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LV as a 3-point home favorite against LAC, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: LV won 63–21; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 84 points went over 36, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.5 against an average line of 2.6; 31.3 points a game (usually 45.9). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PIT vs LV 2022 · Week 16 · very close · similar season form & spread	-2.5	13–10	W	U37.5
Very close	PIT vs GB 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	23–19	W	O38
Very close	PIT vs BAL 2022 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & season form	-2	14–16	L	U36.5
Very close	NYJ vs JAX 2022 · Week 16 · very close · similar rest & total	-2.5	3–19	L	U36.5
Very close	PIT vs CLE 2022 · Week 18 · very close · similar season form & spread	-2.5	28–14	W	O39.5
Very close	GB vs LAR 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	20–3	W	U39.5
Close	DEN vs ARI 2022 · Week 15 · close · similar total & season form	-1.5	24–15	W	O37
Close	CLE vs BAL 2022 · Week 15 · close · similar spread & season form	-3	13–3	W	U38.5
Close	PIT vs TEN 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & total	-3	20–16	W	P36
Close	CAR vs PIT 2022 · Week 15 · close · similar spread & total	-3	16–24	L	O37

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAC LLLWL	4-6	40%	2-2	0-4
LV WWWLP	6-6-1	50%	4-2-1	3-2

Venue/role: LAC away, as underdog; LV home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAC OUUUU	2-8	20%	5-8
LV UUUOU	2-10	17%	5-8

Went over in Q2. Of 14 earlier overs in games with totals 33–39, 29% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAC	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%
LV	4-6 40%	5-4-1 56%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

LAC 33–22 LV LAC leads · 55 games since 1999 · LV has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 1 2023	Las Vegas Raiders 17 @ Los Angeles Chargers 24	LAC -6.5	LAC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAC−2.1 →−0.4▲ 1.7#15

LV0.0 →−3.4▼ 3.4#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

LAC

Longer bar = better

#16

Offense

◀ LAC better

#27

#25

Defense

LV better ▶

#15

+0.2 #11

Turnovers

◀ LAC better

−0.8 #32

64 plays #13

Pace

◀ LAC faster

58 plays #32

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAC has the ball

Even matchup

	LAC off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	21.7 #16	19.9 #9	LV
Yards / play	5.20 #14	5.19 #14	Even
EPA / play	−0.03 #14	−0.03 #14	Even
Success rate	41% #20	44% #24	Even

When LV has the ball

Even matchup

	LV off	LAC def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #28	21.7 #18	LAC
Yards / play	4.78 #27	5.59 #26	Even
EPA / play	−0.16 #28	+0.01 #25	Even
Success rate	41% #24	45% #29	LV

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LAC scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAC scored	5.5 #8	7.6 #11	13.1 #8	2.5 #30	6.1 #17	8.6 #25
LV allowed	4.1 #13	7.0 #17	11.1 #14	4.7 #18	4.2 #4	8.8 #9

LV scoring against the LAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	4.5 #13	5.1 #25	9.5 #23	1.7 #32	4.3 #28	6.0 #31
LAC allowed	3.2 #4	8.0 #27	11.2 #15	3.8 #13	6.5 #20	10.3 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.