Seahawks @ Titans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 16, 2023)

Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 16 · at Tennessee Titans

Weather at kickoff65°F8 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

7-7 · Power #20

▲ winner

Final

Tennessee Titans

5-9 · Power #27

final

Closing spread

SEA -3

Push

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 24–21 TEN

✓ SEA (60%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSEA -3

Total42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseSEA -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close42.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSEA -3

Total42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 3-point road favorite at TEN, the favorite won 3, covered 2, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 20–17; the favorite pushed, as in 1 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 42.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

2 of 922%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 46%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: underdog by 2.8 against an average line of 3; 42.8 points a game (usually 45.8). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	DET @ CAR 2022 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	23–37	L	O43.5
Very close	MIN @ WSH 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3	20–17	P	U43.5
Very close	LAC @ GB 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	20–23	L	U44
Very close	TEN @ WSH 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	21–17	W	U43
Very close	LAC @ DEN 2020 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	30–31	L	O44.5
Very close	NO @ CAR 2022 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	14–22	L	U41
Very close	ATL @ CAR 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	15–25	L	U41.5
Very close	DAL @ NYG 2020 · Week 17 · very close · similar rest & season form	-2	19–23	L	U43.5
Very close	MIN @ CHI 2020 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	19–13	W	U44.5
Very close	BAL @ PIT 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4	19–20	L	U44

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA WLWWW	5-4-1	56%	3-2	1-1-1
TEN LWLWL	3-6	33%	2-2	2-5

Venue/role: SEA away, as favorite; TEN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA UOOUU	4-6	40%	7-7
TEN OUOOU	4-4-1	50%	5-9

Stayed under: it needed 27 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 46% of games with totals 39.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	4-6 40%	5-4-1 56%	4-6 40%
TEN	3-7 30%	3-6 33%	4-4-1 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

SEA 4–3 TEN SEA leads · 7 games since 2005 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−7.8 →−0.4▲ 7.4#15

TEN−0.8 →−2.7▼ 1.9#26

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW15

SEA

Longer bar = better

TEN

#13

Offense

◀ SEA better

#24

Defense

TEN better ▶

#19

+0.2 #12

Turnovers

◀ SEA better

−0.4 #26

60 plays #28

Pace

Even

59 plays #29

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	21.4 #18	21.5 #17	Even
Yards / play	5.42 #10	5.22 #17	SEA
EPA / play	0.00 #11	0.00 #23	SEA
Success rate	44% #11	43% #19	SEA

When TEN has the ball

Even matchup

	TEN off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	18.4 #27	23.9 #24	Even
Yards / play	4.95 #23	5.40 #23	Even
EPA / play	−0.04 #18	+0.02 #25	TEN
Success rate	39% #28	44% #24	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	5.8 #7	4.9 #26	10.6 #15	5.2 #8	5.1 #22	10.4 #20
TEN allowed	4.0 #13	4.8 #5	8.8 #5	5.9 #28	6.2 #18	12.1 #25

TEN scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	3.6 #22	6.5 #15	10.1 #19	3.7 #22	4.1 #30	7.8 #28
SEA allowed	5.1 #24	7.5 #22	12.6 #24	4.3 #13	7.1 #24	11.4 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.