Eagles @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2024)

Sun, Oct 20, 2024, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at New York Giants · Division game

Weather at kickoff72°F3 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

3-2 · Power #2

▲ winner

Final

New York Giants

2-4 · Power #31

final

Closing spread

PHI -3.5

✓ PHI W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 24–20 NYG

✓ PHI (62%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -3.5

ClosePHI -3.5

Total45.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -3.5

no move

ClosePHI -3.5

No change since the open

Total

Open45.5

▼ 3

Close42.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -3.5 · unchangedmodel PHI -2

model PHI -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 58% (58 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -3.5

ClosePHI -3.5

Total45.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 3.5-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: PHI won 28–3; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 31 points stayed under 42.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

4 of 850%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 44%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 0.7 against an average line of 3.3; 40.5 points a game (usually 43.7). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CIN @ NYG 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & season form	-4.5	17–7	W	U45.5
Close	NYJ @ TEN 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	24–17	W	U42.5
Close	KC @ ATL 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	22–17	W	U46.5
Close	PHI @ TB 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-0.5	16–33	L	O43.5
Close	SEA @ TEN 2023 · Week 16 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-3	20–17	P	U42.5
Close	JAX @ TEN 2023 · Week 18 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	20–28	L	O41
Close	MIN @ WSH 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3	20–17	P	U43.5
Close	BAL @ PIT 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-4	19–20	L	U44
Close	NE @ NYJ 2021 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & season form	-4	25–6	W	U43
Loose	DET @ CAR 2022 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-3	23–37	L	O43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI WLWLL	2-3	40%	1-1	1-3
NYG LWWWL	3-3	50%	1-2	3-2

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OUUOU	2-3	40%	3-2
NYG UUUOU	1-5	17%	2-4

Stayed under: it needed 19 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 51% of games with totals 39.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	4-6 40%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
NYG	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

PHI 38–20 NYG PHI leads · 58 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 7 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 10 @ New York Giants 27	PHI -5	NYG W
Dec 25 2023	New York Giants 25 @ Philadelphia Eagles 33	PHI -14	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI−0.1 →+0.2▲ 0.3#16

NYG−2.2 →−2.4▼ 0.2#27

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

PHI

Longer bar = better

NYG

#13

Offense

◀ PHI better

#24

#20

Defense

Even

#18

−1.2 #30

Turnovers

NYG better ▶

−0.3 #22

65 plays #6

Pace

NYG faster ▶

66 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	21.2 #18	20.2 #10	NYG
Yards / play	5.61 #13	5.48 #20	PHI
EPA / play	+0.06 #10	0.00 #17	PHI
Success rate	46% #9	46% #24	PHI

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	16.0 #29	22.4 #14	PHI
Yards / play	4.81 #25	5.73 #25	Even
EPA / play	−0.07 #24	+0.08 #25	Even
Success rate	42% #18	42% #14	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.0 #32	8.2 #12	8.2 #26	5.8 #10	7.2 #9	13.0 #8
NYG allowed	6.3 #27	3.8 #5	10.2 #12	4.8 #15	5.2 #15	10.0 #13

NYG scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.2 #24	6.0 #18	9.2 #23	3.8 #21	3.0 #30	6.8 #28
PHI allowed	4.6 #17	7.8 #21	12.4 #18	4.4 #12	5.6 #17	10.0 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.