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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 7 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 7: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
15 finalFavorites 8-7 ATS5 upsetsO/U 6-9Model Favorite 10-5Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1515 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS8-753% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under6-940% over
Model Favorite10-567% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up5 all 5 final
Over1 20%Under4 80%
Moved down4 all 4 final
Over1 25%Under3 75%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
7–370%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–340%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
1–150%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 17

1
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
3-3 · #15
33
New Orleans Saints
2-4 · #25
10
Spread
DEN -2.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
37.5
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
23–20
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: NO by 1 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Oct 20

12
Final · Neutral
New England Patriots
1-5 · #30
16
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-5 · #29
32
Spread
JAX -6.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
16–22
✓ JAX won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NE by 5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
3-3 · #19
34
Atlanta Falcons
4-2 · #20
14
Spread
ATL -2.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲2
▼ Under 48
Projected
24–26
✗ ATL lost
Trend: SEA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: SEA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
1-4 · #26
10
Buffalo Bills
4-2 · #4
34
Spread
BUF -9.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
16–26
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✓ Model: BUF by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Cincinnati Bengals
2-4 · #14
21
Cleveland Browns
1-5 · #28
14
Spread
CIN -5.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▼ Under 35
Projected
25–20
✓ CIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
5-1 · #11
22
Green Bay Packers
4-2 · #5
24
Spread
GB -3.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
21–25
✓ GB won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: HOU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
2-3 · #18
10
Indianapolis Colts
3-3 · #21
16
Spread
IND -3.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 26
Projected
23–26
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✓ Model: MIA by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Detroit Lions
4-1 · #3
31
Minnesota Vikings
5-0 · #8
29
Spread
MIN -1.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
24–25
✗ MIN lost
Trend: DET ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: DET by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Philadelphia Eagles
3-2 · #2
28
New York Giants
2-4 · #31
3
Spread
PHI -3.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼3
▼ Under 31
Projected
24–20
✓ PHI won
Trend: Under ✓Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: NYG by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
2-4 · #27
15
Los Angeles Rams
1-4 · #16
20
Spread
LAR -7.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 35
Projected
19–27
✓ LAR won
Model: LV by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
1-5 · #32
7
Washington Commanders
4-2 · #10
40
Spread
WSH -10.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
20–30
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: CAR by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
5-0 · #6
28
San Francisco 49ers
3-3 · #9
18
Spread
SF -2.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▼ Under 46
Projected
22–25
✗ SF lost
Trend: SF ATS ✗ Model: SF by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
2-4 · #23
15
Pittsburgh Steelers
4-2 · #12
37
Spread
NYJ -2.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲3
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
21–19
✗ NYJ lost
Trend: NYJ ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: PIT by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Oct 21

2
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
4-2 · #1
41
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-2 · #7
31
Spread
BAL -4.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
26–22
✓ BAL won
Model: TB by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
3-2 · #13
15
Arizona Cardinals
2-4 · #17
17
Spread
LAC -1.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 32
Projected
23–22
✗ LAC lost
Trend: LAC ATS ✗ Model: ARI by 0 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total