FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 8: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS8-850% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under12-475% over
Model Favorite11-569% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
10–283%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
6–186%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
3–0100%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
1–0100%
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 24

1
Final · Non-conf
5-1 · #8
20
2-4 · #16
30
Spread
MIN -2.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
24–21
✗ MIN lost
Trend: MIN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: LAR by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Oct 27

14
Final · Non-conf
37
3-4 · #14
17
Spread
CIN -2.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✗ CIN lost
Trend: PHI ATS ✓ Model: PHI by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
5-2 · #1
24
1-6 · #28
29
Spread
BAL -7.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
27–20
✗ BAL lost
Trend: BAL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: BAL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-5 · #26
14
5-1 · #3
52
Spread
DET -12.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q2
Projected
17–30
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✓ Model: TEN by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
3-4 · #17
28
2-4 · #18
27
Spread
MIA -4.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
20–24
✗ MIA lost
Trend: ARI ATS ✓ Model: ARI by 5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
2-5 · #23
22
25
Spread
NYJ -7.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
23–16
✗ NYJ lost
Trend: NYJ ATS ✗ Model: NE by 5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
4-3 · #20
31
26
Spread
ATL -0.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
25–25
✓ ATL won
Trend: ATL ATS ✓ Model: TB by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
5-2 · #5
30
27
Spread
GB -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✓ GB won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: GB by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
4-3 · #21
20
5-2 · #11
23
Spread
HOU -4.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 43
Projected
22–27
✓ HOU won
Trend: IND ATS ✓ Model: HOU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
2-5 · #25
8
26
Spread
LAC -7.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲2
▼ Under 34
Projected
19–26
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: NO by 4 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
5-2 · #4
31
4-3 · #19
10
Spread
BUF -3.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼4
▼ Under 41
Projected
25–21
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: BUF by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
1-6 · #32
14
4-3 · #15
28
Spread
DEN -12.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▲ Over 42 · Q4
Projected
14–26
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: CAR by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
6-0 · #6
27
2-5 · #27
20
Spread
KC -8.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
26–17
✓ KC won
Trend: LV ATS ✓ Model: KC by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
4-2 · #24
15
18
Spread
WSH -1.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
23–25
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✓ Model: WSH by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
3-3 · #22
24
30
Spread
SF -5.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
22–27
✓ SF won
Model: SF by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Oct 28

1
Final · Non-conf
2-5 · #31
18
5-2 · #12
26
Spread
PIT -6.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
37.5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
17–23
✓ PIT won
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: PIT by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total