1. Home
  2. NFL
  3. 2024 Week 5
NFL · 2024

NFL Week 5 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 5: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
14 finalFavorites 10-4 ATS3 upsetsO/U 7-7Model Favorite 11-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS10-471% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under7-750% over
Model Favorite11-379% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up6 all 6 final
Over1 17%Under5 83%
Moved down4 all 4 final
Over4 100%Under0 0%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
4–640%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–250%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
—
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
Sort by
⌨ Shortcuts

Group the list

Sort by
No games match these filters
Loosen a filter, or start over.

Jump to

Thursday, Oct 3

1
Final · Division
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-1 · #7
30
Atlanta Falcons
2-2 · #20
36
Spread
ATL -2.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
21–24
✓ ATL won
Trend: TB ATS ✗ Model: TB by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: OT

Sunday, Oct 6

12
Final · Neutral
New York Jets
2-2 · #23
17
Minnesota Vikings
4-0 · #8
23
Spread
MIN -2.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
20–22
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NYJ by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
1-3 · #32
10
Chicago Bears
2-2 · #24
36
Spread
CHI -3.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼4
▲ Over 46 · Q3
Projected
17–21
✓ CHI won
Trend: CHI ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: CHI by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Baltimore Ravens
2-2 · #1
41
Cincinnati Bengals
1-3 · #14
38
Spread
BAL -2.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼3
▲ Over 79 · Q4
Projected
25–22
✓ BAL won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: BAL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · Division
Miami Dolphins
1-3 · #18
15
New England Patriots
1-3 · #30
10
Spread
MIA -2.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
36.5
▼ Under 25
Projected
23–20
✓ MIA won
Trend: NE ATS ✗ Model: NE by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
1-3 · #28
13
Washington Commanders
3-1 · #10
34
Spread
WSH -3.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Indianapolis Colts
2-2 · #21
34
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-4 · #29
37
Spread
JAX -3.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✓ JAX won
Trend: IND ATS ✓ Model: IND by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
3-1 · #4
20
Houston Texans
3-1 · #11
23
Spread
HOU -1.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▼ Under 43
Projected
24–25
✓ HOU won
Trend: BUF ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 4 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Las Vegas Raiders
2-2 · #27
18
Denver Broncos
2-2 · #15
34
Spread
DEN -2.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
35.5 ▼2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
20–22
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
1-3 · #17
24
San Francisco 49ers
2-2 · #9
23
Spread
SF -7.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
21–28
✗ SF lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: SF by 4 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
2-2 · #5
24
Los Angeles Rams
1-3 · #16
19
Spread
GB -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▼ Under 43
Projected
26–23
✓ GB won
Trend: Over ✗Trend: GB ATS ✓ Model: GB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
New York Giants
1-3 · #31
29
Seattle Seahawks
3-1 · #19
20
Spread
SEA -7.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
19–26
✗ SEA lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✓ Model: NYG by 3 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
2-2 · #22
20
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-1 · #12
17
Spread
PIT -2.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲3
▼ Under 37
Projected
22–24
✗ PIT lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: DAL by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Oct 7

1
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
2-2 · #25
13
Kansas City Chiefs
4-0 · #6
26
Spread
KC -5.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 39
Projected
20–26
✓ KC won
Trend: NO ATS ✗ Model: NO by 2 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Loading…
StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
Loading…
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total