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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 12 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 12: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
13 finalFavorites 8-5 ATS4 upsetsO/U 10-3Model Favorite 9-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1313 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS8-562% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under10-377% over
Model Favorite9-469% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up3 all 3 final
Over3 100%Under0 0%
Moved down7 all 7 final
Over4 57%Under3 43%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
5–456%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–250%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
1–150%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
1–0100%
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Nov 21

1
Final · Division
Pittsburgh Steelers
8-2 · #12
19
Cleveland Browns
2-8 · #28
24
Spread
PIT -3.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
36.5 ▼4
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
21–17
✗ PIT lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CLE by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Nov 24

11
Final · Division
Minnesota Vikings
8-2 · #8
30
Chicago Bears
4-6 · #24
27
Spread
MIN -2.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
22–20
✓ MIN won
Trend: CHI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
9-1 · #3
24
Indianapolis Colts
5-6 · #21
6
Spread
DET -6.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▼ Under 30
Projected
29–23
✓ DET won
Trend: IND ATS ✗ Model: DET by 0 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
New England Patriots
3-8 · #30
15
Miami Dolphins
4-6 · #18
34
Spread
MIA -7.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
18–25
✓ MIA won
Trend: NE ATS ✗ Model: NE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-6 · #7
30
New York Giants
2-8 · #31
7
Spread
TB -6.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
24–18
✓ TB won
Trend: TB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NYG by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Dallas Cowboys
3-7 · #22
34
Washington Commanders
7-4 · #10
26
Spread
WSH -10.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
20–30
✗ WSH lost
Trend: WSH ATS ✗ Model: DAL by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
9-1 · #6
30
Carolina Panthers
3-7 · #32
27
Spread
KC -11.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
28–16
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✗ Model: KC by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Tennessee Titans
2-8 · #26
32
Houston Texans
7-4 · #11
27
Spread
HOU -7.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
18–26
✗ HOU lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
6-5 · #15
29
Las Vegas Raiders
2-8 · #27
19
Spread
DEN -5.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
24–18
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: LV by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
5-5 · #9
10
Green Bay Packers
7-3 · #5
38
Spread
GB -6.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼3
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
19–25
✓ GB won
Trend: GB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: SF by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
6-4 · #17
6
Seattle Seahawks
5-5 · #19
16
Spread
ARI -1.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▼ Under 22
Projected
25–23
✗ ARI lost
Trend: ARI ATS ✗ Model: SEA by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
8-2 · #2
37
Los Angeles Rams
5-5 · #16
20
Spread
PHI -2.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
25–22
✓ PHI won
Trend: PHI ATS ✓ Model: PHI by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Nov 25

1
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
7-4 · #1
30
Los Angeles Chargers
7-3 · #13
23
Spread
BAL -2.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲3
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
26–23
✓ BAL won
Trend: LAC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: BAL by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total