FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 10: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS3-1121% covered
Upsets6outright
Over / Under4-1029% over
Model Favorite8-657% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
6–746%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
1–420%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–10%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Nov 7

1
Final · Division
4-5 · #14
34
6-3 · #1
35
Spread
BAL -5.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
24–29
✓ BAL won
Trend: CIN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: BAL by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Nov 10

12
Final · Neutral
2-7 · #31
17
2-7 · #32
20
Spread
NYG -6.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
25–19
✗ NYG lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: CAR by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
19
4-4 · #24
3
Spread
CHI -6.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼2
▼ Under 22
Projected
14–21
✗ CHI lost
Trend: CHI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: NE by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
7-2 · #4
30
4-5 · #21
20
Spread
BUF -4.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
27–22
✓ BUF won
Trend: IND ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
5-4 · #15
14
8-0 · #6
16
Spread
KC -7.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
16–24
✓ KC won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: KC by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
6-3 · #20
17
2-7 · #25
20
Spread
ATL -4.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–22
✗ ATL lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✗ Model: NO by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
23
20
Spread
SF -6.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▼ Under 43
Projected
28–22
✓ SF won
Trend: Over ✗Trend: SF ATS ✗ Model: TB by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
6-2 · #12
28
27
Spread
WSH -1.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
22–24
✗ WSH lost
Trend: WSH ATS ✗ Model: WSH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
6-2 · #8
12
7
Spread
MIN -7.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼4
▼ Under 19
Projected
26–19
✓ MIN won
Trend: Under ✓Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: JAX by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
2-6 · #26
17
27
Spread
LAC -8.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲2
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
16–24
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: TEN by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
34
3-5 · #22
6
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
27–19
✓ PHI won
Trend: PHI ATS ✓ Model: DAL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
3-6 · #23
6
5-4 · #17
31
Spread
NYJ -1.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–22
✗ NYJ lost
Model: ARI by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
7-1 · #3
26
6-3 · #11
23
Spread
DET -4.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▼ Under 49
Projected
27–23
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Nov 11

1
Final · Non-conf
2-6 · #18
23
4-4 · #16
15
Spread
LAR -2.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
21–24
✗ LAR lost
Model: LAR by 1 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total