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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 17 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 17: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 11-5 ATS3 upsetsO/U 9-7Model Favorite 13-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS11-569% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under9-756% over
Model Favorite13-381% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up2 all 2 final
Over1 50%Under1 50%
Moved down9 all 9 final
Over6 67%Under3 33%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
7–750%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
3–350%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
2–0100%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
1–0100%
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Wednesday, Dec 25

2
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
14-1 · #6
29
Pittsburgh Steelers
10-5 · #12
10
Spread
KC -1.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲2
▼ Under 39
Projected
22–20
✓ KC won
Trend: PIT ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: KC by 0 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
10-5 · #1
31
Houston Texans
9-6 · #11
2
Spread
BAL -6.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
28–22
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✓ Model: HOU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Dec 26

1
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
8-7 · #19
6
Chicago Bears
4-11 · #24
3
Spread
SEA -4.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 9
Projected
23–19
✓ SEA won
Model: CHI by 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 28

3
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
9-6 · #13
40
New England Patriots
3-12 · #30
7
Spread
LAC -5.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
23–18
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓ Model: NE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
9-6 · #15
24
Cincinnati Bengals
7-8 · #14
30
Spread
CIN -3.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 54 · OT
Projected
23–26
✓ CIN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: DEN by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
7-8 · #17
9
Los Angeles Rams
9-6 · #16
13
Spread
LAR -6.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 22
Projected
21–27
✓ LAR won
Model: ARI by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Sunday, Dec 29

9
Final · Division
New York Jets
4-11 · #23
14
Buffalo Bills
12-3 · #4
40
Spread
BUF -10.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼3
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
15–26
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: BUF by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
3-12 · #27
25
New Orleans Saints
5-10 · #25
10
Spread
LV -2.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼2
▼ Under 35
Projected
23–22
✓ LV won
Trend: LV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NO by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
7-8 · #21
33
New York Giants
2-13 · #31
45
Spread
IND -7.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 78 · Q3
Projected
25–18
✗ IND lost
Trend: IND ATS ✗ Model: NYG by 4 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Dallas Cowboys
7-8 · #22
7
Philadelphia Eagles
12-3 · #2
41
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼5
▲ Over 48 · Q3
Projected
17–25
✓ PHI won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: DAL by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Carolina Panthers
4-11 · #32
14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-7 · #7
48
Spread
TB -9.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
19–28
✓ TB won
Trend: TB ATS ✓ Model: TB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Tennessee Titans
3-12 · #26
13
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-12 · #29
20
Spread
TEN -1.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼1
▼ Under 33
Projected
23–22
✗ TEN lost
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: JAX by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
7-8 · #18
20
Cleveland Browns
3-12 · #28
3
Spread
MIA -3.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
32.5 ▼8
▼ Under 23
Projected
22–19
✓ MIA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 0 ✗ Model: Over 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Green Bay Packers
11-4 · #5
25
Minnesota Vikings
13-2 · #8
27
Spread
GB -0.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
24–23
✗ GB lost
Trend: MIN ATS ✓ Model: GB by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
8-7 · #20
24
Washington Commanders
10-5 · #10
30
Spread
WSH -3.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: ATL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: OT

Monday, Dec 30

1
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
13-2 · #3
40
San Francisco 49ers
6-9 · #9
34
Spread
DET -3.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▲ Over 74 · Q3
Projected
27–24
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✓ Model: DET by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total