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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 2 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 2: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 4-11 ATS8 upsetsO/U 5-10Model Favorite 8-8Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS4-1127% covered
Upsets8outright
Over / Under5-1033% over
Model Favorite8-850% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up2 all 2 final
Over1 50%Under1 50%
Moved down10 all 10 final
Over3 30%Under7 70%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
4–736%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
3–538%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
1–150%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 12

1
Final · Division
Buffalo Bills
1-0 · #4
31
Miami Dolphins
1-0 · #18
10
Spread
MIA -2.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
24–27
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 15

14
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
1-0 · #25
44
Dallas Cowboys
1-0 · #22
19
Spread
DAL -6.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▲ Over 63 · Q2
Projected
22–28
✗ DAL lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: NO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-0 · #7
20
Detroit Lions
1-0 · #3
16
Spread
DET -7.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▼ Under 36
Projected
21–28
✗ DET lost
Trend: DET ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TB by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
0-1 · #21
10
Green Bay Packers
0-1 · #5
16
Spread
IND -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼6
▼ Under 26
Projected
26–25
✗ IND lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: GB by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 9.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
0-1 · #23
24
Tennessee Titans
0-1 · #26
17
Spread
NYJ -3.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
23–20
✓ NYJ won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TEN by 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
1-0 · #9
17
Minnesota Vikings
1-0 · #8
23
Spread
SF -3.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
26–22
✗ SF lost
Trend: MIN ATS ✓ Model: SF by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
1-0 · #19
23
New England Patriots
1-0 · #30
20
Spread
SEA -3.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼3
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
24–20
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NE by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
New York Giants
0-1 · #31
18
Washington Commanders
0-1 · #10
21
Spread
WSH -1.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
22–24
✓ WSH won
Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: NYG by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
1-0 · #13
26
Carolina Panthers
0-1 · #32
3
Spread
LAC -4.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼3.5
▼ Under 29
Projected
23–18
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: LAC by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
0-1 · #28
18
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-1 · #29
13
Spread
JAX -3.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▼ Under 31
Projected
20–24
✗ JAX lost
Trend: JAX ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
0-1 · #27
26
Baltimore Ravens
0-1 · #1
23
Spread
BAL -8.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1.5
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
18–27
✗ BAL lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: LV by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Los Angeles Rams
0-1 · #16
10
Arizona Cardinals
0-1 · #17
41
Spread
ARI -1.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
24–25
✓ ARI won
Trend: ARI ATS ✓ Model: LAR by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-0 · #12
13
Denver Broncos
0-1 · #15
6
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
24–22
✓ PIT won
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
0-1 · #14
25
Kansas City Chiefs
1-0 · #6
26
Spread
KC -6.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
19–26
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✗ Model: CIN by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
1-0 · #24
13
Houston Texans
1-0 · #11
19
Spread
HOU -6.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 32
Projected
21–27
✓ HOU won
Model: CHI by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Sep 16

1
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
0-1 · #20
22
Philadelphia Eagles
1-0 · #2
21
Spread
PHI -5.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▼ Under 43
Projected
21–27
✗ PHI lost
Trend: PHI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ATL by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total