Giants @ Commanders: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sun, Sep 15, 2024, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Washington Commanders · Division game

Weather at kickoff78°F8 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

New York Giants

0-1 · Power #31

final

Final

Washington Commanders

0-1 · Power #10

▲ winner

Closing spread

WSH -1.5

✓ WSH W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 39 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 22–24 WSH

✓ WSH (55%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSH -3

CloseWSH -1.5

Total42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWSH -3

1.5 → NYG

CloseWSH -1.5

1.5 pts toward New York Giants

Total

Open42.5

no move

Close42.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WSH -3 · closed WSH -1.5 · moved 1.5 toward NYGmodel WSH -0.5

model WSH -0.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–3.5 since 2023: won 72%, covered 58% (75 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSH -3

CloseWSH -1.5

Total42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like WSH as a 1.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 0, covered 0, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: WSH won 21–18; the favorite covered, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 39 points stayed under 42.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 42%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: underdog by 3 against an average line of 2.5; 31 points a game (usually 43.1). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	NYG vs ATL 2021 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-2.5	14–17	L	U47

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG L	0-1	0%	—	—
WSH L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; WSH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG U	0-1	0%	0-1
WSH O	1-0	100%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 16 in the 4th quarter and got 12. 50% of games with totals 39.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
WSH	1-9 10%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

NYG 32–21 WSH (2 tied) NYG leads · 55 games since 1999

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 19 2023	New York Giants 31 @ Washington Commanders 19	WSH -7.5	NYG W
Oct 22 2023	Washington Commanders 7 @ New York Giants 14	WSH -3.5	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.2 →−3.4▼ 1.2#30

WSH−3.1 →−3.7▼ 0.6#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

NYG

Longer bar = better

WSH

#30

Offense

WSH better ▶

#12

#26

Defense

◀ NYG better

#31

0.0 #20

Turnovers

WSH better ▶

0.0 #16

68 plays #9

Pace

◀ NYG faster

56 plays #21

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	WSH def	Edge
Points / game	6.0 #32	37.0 #31	Even
Yards / play	3.53 #28	6.43 #29	Even
EPA / play	−0.36 #31	+0.27 #32	Even
Success rate	31% #29	53% #30	Even

When WSH has the ball

Advantage: WSH offense

	WSH off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #17	28.0 #24	WSH
Yards / play	5.34 #17	6.12 #27	WSH
EPA / play	+0.12 #8	+0.16 #27	WSH
Success rate	48% #5	48% #27	WSH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.