Jets @ Titans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sun, Sep 15, 2024, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Tennessee Titans

Weather at kickoff82°F8 mphgusts 19Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

New York Jets

0-1 · Power #23

▲ winner

Final

Tennessee Titans

0-1 · Power #26

final

Closing spread

NYJ -3.5

✓ NYJ W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

NYJ 23–20 TEN

✓ NYJ (60%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenNYJ -3.5

CloseNYJ -3.5

Total44 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNYJ -3.5

no move

CloseNYJ -3.5

No change since the open

Total

Open44

▼ 1.5

Close42.5

Down 1.5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NYJ -3.5 · unchangedmodel TEN -3.5

model TEN -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–5.5 since 2023: won 58%, covered 48% (53 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenNYJ -3.5

CloseNYJ -3.5

Total44 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 6 games most like NYJ as a 3.5-point road favorite at TEN, the favorite won 5, covered 2, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: NYJ won 24–17; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 6 similar games. 41 points stayed under 42.5, as in 5 of 6.

Favorite won

5 of 683%

Normal range · usually 60%

Favorite covered

2 of 540%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

1 of 617%

Normal range · usually 43%

Only 6 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 2 against an average line of 3.1; 36.3 points a game (usually 43.6). When games like this go over ›

All 6 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	LV @ CLE 2021 · Week 15 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-2.5	16–14	L	U42
Loose	TEN @ WSH 2022 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & situation	-3	21–17	W	U43
Loose	NO @ CAR 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-3	14–22	L	U41
Loose	SEA @ TEN 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest	-3	20–17	P	U42.5
Loose	CHI @ DET 2021 · Week 12 · loose	-3	16–14	L	U41.5
Loose	GB @ CHI 2022 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest	-4	28–19	W	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYJ L	0-1	0%	0-1	—
TEN L	0-1	0%	—	0-1

Venue/role: NYJ away, as favorite; TEN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYJ O	1-0	100%	0-1
TEN U	0-1	0%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 9 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 50% of games with totals 39.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYJ	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%
TEN	3-7 30%	3-6-1 33%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYJ 9–4 TEN NYJ leads · 13 games since 2003 · NYJ has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYJ−1.2 →−1.8▼ 0.6#29

TEN−1.5 →−1.4▲ 0.1#24

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

NYJ

Longer bar = better

TEN

#17

Offense

◀ NYJ better

#26

#23

Defense

TEN better ▶

−2.0 #30

Turnovers

Even

−2.0 #28

49 plays #30

Pace

TEN faster ▶

61 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYJ has the ball

Advantage: TEN defense

	NYJ off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #21	24.0 #18	Even
Yards / play	5.43 #14	2.79 #1	TEN
EPA / play	−0.05 #17	−0.25 #8	TEN
Success rate	44% #14	38% #9	TEN

When TEN has the ball

Even matchup

	TEN off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #25	32.0 #27	Even
Yards / play	4.00 #27	5.73 #21	NYJ
EPA / play	−0.26 #26	+0.10 #23	Even
Success rate	38% #25	45% #22	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.