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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 13 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 13: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 7-9 ATS3 upsetsO/U 8-8Model Favorite 13-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS7-944% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under8-850% over
Model Favorite13-381% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up5 all 5 final
Over2 40%Under3 60%
Moved down4 all 4 final
Over2 50%Under2 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
5–645%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
1–150%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
1–150%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Nov 28

3
Final · Division
Chicago Bears
4-7 · #24
20
Detroit Lions
10-1 · #3
23
Spread
DET -10
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 43
Projected
18–28
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✗ Model: DET by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
New York Giants
2-9 · #31
20
Dallas Cowboys
4-7 · #22
27
Spread
DAL -4.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
39.5 ▲1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
20–25
✓ DAL won
Model: NYG by 1 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
5-6 · #18
17
Green Bay Packers
8-3 · #5
30
Spread
GB -3.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
21–24
✓ GB won
Model: GB by 2 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Nov 29

1
Final · Division
Las Vegas Raiders
2-9 · #27
17
Kansas City Chiefs
10-1 · #6
19
Spread
KC -13.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 36
Projected
15–28
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✗ Model: LV by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Dec 1

11
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
7-4 · #13
17
Atlanta Falcons
6-5 · #20
13
Spread
LAC -0.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
23–23
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓ Model: LAC by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Pittsburgh Steelers
8-3 · #12
44
Cincinnati Bengals
4-7 · #14
38
Spread
CIN -3.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 82 · Q2
Projected
21–25
✗ CIN lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: PIT by 3 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
6-5 · #17
22
Minnesota Vikings
9-2 · #8
23
Spread
MIN -3.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 45
Projected
21–25
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: MIN by 0 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
5-7 · #21
25
New England Patriots
3-9 · #30
24
Spread
IND -2.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
22–20
✓ IND won
Model: NE by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
6-5 · #19
26
New York Jets
3-8 · #23
21
Spread
NYJ -1.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
20–22
✗ NYJ lost
Trend: SEA ATS ✓ Model: SEA by 3 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
3-8 · #26
19
Washington Commanders
7-5 · #10
42
Spread
WSH -5.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✓ Model: TEN by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Houston Texans
7-5 · #11
23
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-9 · #29
20
Spread
HOU -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▼ Under 43
Projected
26–22
✓ HOU won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: HOU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
5-6 · #16
21
New Orleans Saints
4-7 · #25
14
Spread
LAR -2.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▼ Under 35
Projected
26–24
✓ LAR won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: NO by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5-6 · #7
26
Carolina Panthers
3-8 · #32
23
Spread
TB -6.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 49 · OT
Projected
28–21
✓ TB won
Trend: TB ATS ✗ Model: TB by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
9-2 · #2
24
Baltimore Ravens
8-4 · #1
19
Spread
BAL -3.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 43
Projected
24–27
✗ BAL lost
Model: PHI by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
5-6 · #9
10
Buffalo Bills
9-2 · #4
35
Spread
BUF -6.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
21–27
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✓ Model: SF by 5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Dec 2

1
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
3-8 · #28
32
Denver Broncos
7-5 · #15
41
Spread
DEN -6.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
17–24
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 2 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total