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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 3 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 3: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 8-8 ATS8 upsetsO/U 6-10Model Favorite 8-8Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS8-850% covered
Upsets8outright
Over / Under6-1038% over
Model Favorite8-850% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up2 all 2 final
Over1 50%Under1 50%
Moved down9 all 9 final
Over4 44%Under5 56%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
7–654%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
4–450%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–10%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
0–10%
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 19

1
Final · Division
New England Patriots
1-1 · #30
3
New York Jets
1-1 · #23
24
Spread
NYJ -6.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼1
▼ Under 27
Projected
18–24
✓ NYJ won
Model: NE by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 22

13
Final · Non-conf
New York Giants
0-2 · #31
21
Cleveland Browns
1-1 · #28
15
Spread
CLE -6.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼1
▼ Under 36
Projected
19–25
✗ CLE lost
Model: NYG by 0 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
1-1 · #5
30
Tennessee Titans
0-2 · #26
14
Spread
TEN -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
36.5 ▼1
▲ Over 44 · Q3
Projected
21–23
✗ TEN lost
Model: GB by 6 ✓ Model: Over 8 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
1-1 · #24
16
Indianapolis Colts
0-2 · #21
21
Spread
IND -2.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
22–24
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✓ Model: CHI by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
2-0 · #11
7
Minnesota Vikings
2-0 · #8
34
Spread
HOU -2
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
25–23
✗ HOU lost
Model: MIN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1 · #2
15
New Orleans Saints
2-0 · #25
12
Spread
NO -2.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
25–27
✗ NO lost
Trend: NO ATS ✗ Model: NO by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
2-0 · #13
10
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-0 · #12
20
Spread
PIT -2.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
35.5 ▼1
▼ Under 30
Projected
20–23
✓ PIT won
Trend: LAC ATS ✗ Model: LAC by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
0-2 · #15
26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2-0 · #7
7
Spread
TB -5.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
20–25
✗ TB lost
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: DEN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
0-2 · #32
36
Las Vegas Raiders
1-1 · #27
22
Spread
LV -5.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲2
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
19–24
✗ LV lost
Trend: CAR ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: LV by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
1-1 · #18
3
Seattle Seahawks
2-0 · #19
24
Spread
SEA -4.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 27
Projected
23–27
✓ SEA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✗ Model: MIA by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
0-2 · #1
28
Dallas Cowboys
1-1 · #22
25
Spread
BAL -1.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
26–25
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✓ Model: DAL by 2 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
San Francisco 49ers
1-1 · #9
24
Los Angeles Rams
0-2 · #16
27
Spread
SF -6.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
27–20
✗ SF lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: LAR by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
1-1 · #3
20
Arizona Cardinals
1-1 · #17
13
Spread
DET -2.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
27–24
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✓ Model: ARI by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
2-0 · #6
22
Atlanta Falcons
1-1 · #20
17
Spread
KC -3.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
25–21
✓ KC won
Trend: ATL ATS ✗ Model: ATL by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Sep 23

2
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-2 · #29
10
Buffalo Bills
2-0 · #4
47
Spread
BUF -4.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
21–26
✓ BUF won
Trend: JAX ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Washington Commanders
1-1 · #10
38
Cincinnati Bengals
0-2 · #14
33
Spread
CIN -7.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 71 · Q3
Projected
20–28
✗ CIN lost
Model: WSH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total