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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 1 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 1: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 8-8 ATS4 upsetsO/U 9-7Model Favorite 12-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS8-850% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under9-756% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up6 all 6 final
Over3 50%Under3 50%
Moved down8 all 8 final
Over4 50%Under4 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
3–925%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–529%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–10%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 5

1
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
0-0 · #1
20
Kansas City Chiefs
0-0 · #6
27
Spread
KC -2.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
22–24
✓ KC won
Model: BAL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Friday, Sep 6

1
Final · Neutral
Green Bay Packers
0-0 · #5
29
Philadelphia Eagles
0-0 · #2
34
Spread
PHI -1.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
23–25
✓ PHI won
Model: GB by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Sunday, Sep 8

13
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0 · #12
18
Atlanta Falcons
0-0 · #20
10
Spread
ATL -4.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 28
Projected
21–25
✗ ATL lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✗ Model: PIT by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
0-0 · #17
28
Buffalo Bills
0-0 · #4
34
Spread
BUF -6.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2.5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
19–26
✓ BUF won
Trend: ARI ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: BUF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
0-0 · #26
17
Chicago Bears
0-0 · #24
24
Spread
CHI -4.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
20–25
✓ CHI won
Model: TEN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
0-0 · #30
16
Cincinnati Bengals
0-0 · #14
10
Spread
CIN -7.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▼ Under 26
Projected
19–26
✗ CIN lost
Trend: NE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NE by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Houston Texans
0-0 · #11
29
Indianapolis Colts
0-0 · #21
27
Spread
HOU -3.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✓ HOU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: IND by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-0 · #29
17
Miami Dolphins
0-0 · #18
20
Spread
MIA -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–26
✓ MIA won
Model: MIA by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Carolina Panthers
0-0 · #32
10
New Orleans Saints
0-0 · #25
47
Spread
NO -3.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲1
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
21–25
✓ NO won
Trend: CAR ATS ✗ Model: NO by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
0-0 · #8
28
New York Giants
0-0 · #31
6
Spread
NYG -2.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▼ Under 34
Projected
21–23
✗ NYG lost
Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: MIN by 6 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Las Vegas Raiders
0-0 · #27
10
Los Angeles Chargers
0-0 · #13
22
Spread
LAC -3
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▼ Under 32
Projected
21–24
✓ LAC won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: LV by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
0-0 · #15
20
Seattle Seahawks
0-0 · #19
26
Spread
SEA -6.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
21–27
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✗ Model: DEN by 4 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
0-0 · #22
33
Cleveland Browns
0-0 · #28
17
Spread
CLE -2
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
22–23
✗ CLE lost
Trend: CLE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: DAL by 5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Washington Commanders
0-0 · #10
20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-0 · #7
37
Spread
TB -3.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
22–26
✓ TB won
Model: TB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
0-0 · #16
20
Detroit Lions
0-0 · #3
26
Spread
DET -5.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▼ Under 46
Projected
23–28
✓ DET won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: LAR by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: OT

Monday, Sep 9

1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
0-0 · #23
19
San Francisco 49ers
0-0 · #9
32
Spread
SF -3.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
19–24
✓ SF won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: SF by 6.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total