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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 9 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 9: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
15 finalFavorites 10-5 ATS1 upsetO/U 7-8Model Favorite 14-1Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1515 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS10-567% covered
Upsets1outright
Over / Under7-847% over
Model Favorite14-193% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up6 all 6 final
Over3 50%Under3 50%
Moved down4 all 4 final
Over4 100%Under0 0%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
4–736%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–167%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
2–0100%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 31

1
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
6-2 · #11
13
New York Jets
2-6 · #23
21
Spread
NYJ -2.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
20–22
✓ NYJ won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: HOU by 5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Nov 3

13
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
3-4 · #22
21
Atlanta Falcons
5-3 · #20
27
Spread
ATL -3.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▼ Under 48
Projected
23–27
✓ ATL won
Trend: ATL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: DAL by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Miami Dolphins
2-5 · #18
27
Buffalo Bills
6-2 · #4
30
Spread
BUF -6.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
20–27
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
2-6 · #27
24
Cincinnati Bengals
3-5 · #14
41
Spread
CIN -7.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
20–27
✓ CIN won
Trend: LV ATS ✗ Model: LV by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
4-3 · #13
27
Cleveland Browns
2-6 · #28
10
Spread
LAC -1.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲2
▼ Under 37
Projected
21–19
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓ Model: LAC by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
2-6 · #30
17
Tennessee Titans
1-6 · #26
20
Spread
TEN -3.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
38.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
17–20
✓ TEN won
Trend: NE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NE by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Washington Commanders
6-2 · #10
27
New York Giants
2-6 · #31
22
Spread
WSH -3.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
25–21
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✓ Model: WSH by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New Orleans Saints
2-6 · #25
22
Carolina Panthers
1-7 · #32
23
Spread
NO -7.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
27–20
✗ NO lost
Trend: NO ATS ✗ Model: CAR by 5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
5-3 · #15
10
Baltimore Ravens
5-3 · #1
41
Spread
BAL -8.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▲ Over 51 · Q3
Projected
20–28
✓ BAL won
Trend: DEN ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: DEN by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-6 · #29
23
Philadelphia Eagles
5-2 · #2
28
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
21–28
✓ PHI won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: PHI by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
4-3 · #24
9
Arizona Cardinals
4-4 · #17
29
Spread
ARI -1.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
22–23
✓ ARI won
Trend: CHI ATS ✗ Model: CHI by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Detroit Lions
6-1 · #3
24
Green Bay Packers
6-2 · #5
14
Spread
DET -2.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
26–24
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✓ Model: GB by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Los Angeles Rams
3-4 · #16
26
Seattle Seahawks
4-4 · #19
20
Spread
LAR -2
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 46
Projected
25–24
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✓ Model: SEA by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
4-4 · #21
13
Minnesota Vikings
5-2 · #8
21
Spread
MIN -5.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
21–27
✓ MIN won
Trend: IND ATS ✗ Model: IND by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Nov 4

1
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-4 · #7
24
Kansas City Chiefs
7-0 · #6
30
Spread
KC -8.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
18–27
✓ KC won
Model: TB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total