Rams @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2024)

Sun, Nov 3, 2024, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 9 · at Seattle Seahawks · Division game

Weather at kickoff52°F3 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Rams

3-4 · Power #16

▲ winner

Final

Seattle Seahawks

4-4 · Power #19

final

Closing spread

LAR -2

✓ LAR W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

LAR 25–24 SEA

✓ LAR (56%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -1

CloseLAR -2

Total47.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -1

3 → LAR

CloseLAR -2

3 pts toward Los Angeles Rams

Total

Open47.5

▲ 1

Close48.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -1 · closed LAR -2 · moved 3 toward LARmodel SEA -1.5

model SEA -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1–3 since 2023: won 61%, covered 57% (54 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -1

CloseLAR -2

Total47.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAR as a 2-point road favorite at SEA, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: LAR won 26–20; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 46 points stayed under 48.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 44%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 3 against an average line of 2; 45 points a game (usually 43.8). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	ATL @ TB 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-0.5	31–26	W	O47.5
Close	BAL @ DAL 2024 · Week 3 · close	-1.5	28–25	W	O47.5
Close	LAC @ LV 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-2.5	20–27	L	U49.5
Loose	ARI @ SEA 2022 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation & season form	-2.5	9–19	L	U50.5
Loose	LAC @ ARI 2022 · Week 12 · loose · similar team ratings & season form	-3	25–24	L	P49
Loose	LV @ JAX 2022 · Week 9 · loose · similar season form & situation	-2	20–27	L	U48
Loose	HOU @ IND 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-1.5	23–19	W	U48
Loose	LV @ NO 2022 · Week 8 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-2	0–24	L	U48.5
Loose	JAX @ HOU 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar team ratings & situation	-1	24–21	W	U48
Loose	LAC @ CLE 2022 · Week 5 · loose · similar season form	-3	30–28	L	O47.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAR WLLLW	2-5	29%	0-3	0-1
SEA LLLWL	2-6	25%	1-4	1-3

Venue/role: LAR away, as favorite; SEA home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAR OOUUO	4-3	57%	3-4
SEA OOOUU	5-3	63%	4-4

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 50% of games with totals 45.5–51.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAR	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
SEA	5-5 50%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

LAR 24–28 SEA SEA leads · 52 games since 2000 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 19 2023	Seattle Seahawks 16 @ Los Angeles Rams 17	LAR -2	SEA W
Sep 10 2023	Los Angeles Rams 30 @ Seattle Seahawks 13	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAR+0.7 →−0.9▼ 1.6#21

SEA−0.6 →−0.8▼ 0.2#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

LAR

Longer bar = better

SEA

#17

Offense

Even

#14

#24

Defense

Even

#22

0.0 #18

Turnovers

◀ LAR better

−0.5 #26

62 plays #17

Pace

Even

62 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	20.6 #23	24.4 #20	Even
Yards / play	5.23 #18	5.56 #20	Even
EPA / play	−0.03 #20	+0.03 #21	Even
Success rate	48% #6	46% #26	LAR

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	23.8 #13	24.9 #22	SEA
Yards / play	5.64 #14	5.79 #26	SEA
EPA / play	−0.01 #16	+0.06 #24	SEA
Success rate	45% #12	46% #25	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LAR scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	1.9 #30	6.7 #20	8.6 #25	5.3 #13	6.7 #11	12.0 #15
SEA allowed	3.8 #8	8.4 #24	12.1 #20	6.0 #25	6.3 #20	12.3 #22

SEA scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	4.6 #18	5.8 #22	10.4 #18	5.9 #11	7.1 #9	13.0 #8
LAR allowed	7.0 #31	5.6 #8	12.6 #23	7.3 #30	4.1 #5	11.4 #18

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.