Week in numbers
Tap a number to filter the games below
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
| Moved toward | This week | 2024 | 2024–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any move | 99–11446% | 229–252–448% | |
| 1.5+ pts | 0–30% | 46–5048% | 116–117–250% |
| 3+ pts | — | 17–1455% | 56–58–149% |
| 5+ pts | — | 6–275% | 17–1652% |
| 7+ pts | — | 0–10% | 2–722% |
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Dec 5
1Final · Division
Spread
DET -3.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
23–27
✓ DET won
Sunday, Dec 8
11Final · Division
Spread
TEN -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
40.5
▼ Under 16
Projected
21–25
✗ TEN lost
Final · Division
Spread
MIA -6.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
18–25
✓ MIA won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
MIN -5.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
21–26
✓ MIN won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
NO -5.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲2
▼ Under 25
Projected
23–18
✓ NO won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
PHI -13.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▼ Under 38
Projected
14–28
✓ PHI won
Final · Division
Spread
PIT -6.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▼ Under 41
Projected
17–24
✓ PIT won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
TB -6.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▼ Under 41
Projected
21–28
✓ TB won
Final · Division
Spread
ARI -3.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✗ ARI lost
Final · Non-conf
Spread
BUF -3.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 86 · Q3
Projected
26–22
✗ BUF lost
Final · Non-conf
Spread
SF -3.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✓ SF won
Final · Division
Spread
KC -5.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
17–23
✓ KC won
Monday, Dec 9
1Final · Non-conf
Spread
CIN -4.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲3
▼ Under 47
Projected
29–24
✓ CIN won
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| Status | Matchup | Spread | Move | Total | Model | Signal | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total