FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 14: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1313 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS5-838% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under6-746% over
Model Favorite10-377% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
3–633%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
0–30%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
—
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Dec 5

1
Final · Division
9-3 · #5
31
11-1 · #3
34
Spread
DET -3.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
23–27
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: GB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Sunday, Dec 8

11
Final · Division
2-10 · #29
10
3-9 · #26
6
Spread
TEN -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
40.5
▼ Under 16
Projected
21–25
✗ TEN lost
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: JAX by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
3-9 · #23
26
5-7 · #18
32
Spread
MIA -6.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
18–25
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✗ Model: NYJ by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
6-6 · #20
21
10-2 · #8
42
Spread
MIN -5.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
21–26
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✓ Model: ATL by 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
4-8 · #25
14
2-10 · #31
11
Spread
NO -5.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲2
▼ Under 25
Projected
23–18
✓ NO won
Trend: NO ATS ✗ Model: NYG by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
3-9 · #32
16
10-2 · #2
22
Spread
PHI -13.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▼ Under 38
Projected
14–28
✓ PHI won
Trend: PHI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: PHI by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
3-9 · #28
14
9-3 · #12
27
Spread
PIT -6.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▼ Under 41
Projected
17–24
✓ PIT won
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: PIT by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
2-10 · #27
13
28
Spread
TB -6.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▼ Under 41
Projected
21–28
✓ TB won
Trend: LV ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TB by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
7-5 · #19
30
6-6 · #17
18
Spread
ARI -3.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✗ ARI lost
Trend: ARI ATS ✗ Model: SEA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
10-2 · #4
42
6-6 · #16
44
Spread
BUF -3.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 86 · Q3
Projected
26–22
✗ BUF lost
Trend: BUF ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: BUF by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
4-8 · #24
13
38
Spread
SF -3.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✓ SF won
Trend: CHI ATS ✗ Model: SF by 4 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
17
11-1 · #6
19
Spread
KC -5.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
17–23
✓ KC won
Model: LAC by 2 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Dec 9

1
Final · Non-conf
4-8 · #14
27
5-7 · #22
20
Spread
CIN -4.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲3
▼ Under 47
Projected
29–24
✓ CIN won
Trend: Over ✗Trend: CIN ATS ✓ Model: DAL by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total