Seahawks @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2024)

Sun, Dec 8, 2024, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Arizona Cardinals · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

7-5 · Power #19

▲ winner

Final

Arizona Cardinals

6-6 · Power #17

final

Closing spread

ARI -3.5

✓ SEA W

Total

45.5

▲ Over · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 22–25 ARI

✗ ARI (62%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARI -2.5

CloseARI -3.5

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARI -2.5

1 → ARI

CloseARI -3.5

1 pt toward Arizona Cardinals

Total

Open46.5

▼ 1

Close45.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARI -2.5 · closed ARI -3.5 · moved 1 toward ARImodel ARI -2.5

model ARI -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 68%, covered 52% (117 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (43 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARI -2.5

CloseARI -3.5

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARI as a 3.5-point home favorite against SEA, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 30–18 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 48 points went over 45.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 44%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.2 against an average line of 2.9; 51.4 points a game (usually 44). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NYJ vs IND 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-4.5	27–28	L	O43.5
Very close	MIN vs ARI 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & rest	-3.5	23–22	L	U45.5
Very close	IND vs CHI 2024 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & total	-2.5	21–16	W	U43.5
Close	GB vs MIA 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form	-3.5	30–17	W	U47.5
Close	CIN vs PIT 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & total	-3.5	38–44	L	O46.5
Close	CIN vs PHI 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	17–37	L	O47.5
Close	ARI vs CHI 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & total	-1.5	29–9	W	U44.5
Close	ATL vs TB 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	36–30	W	O43.5
Close	GB vs HOU 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	24–22	L	U47.5
Close	DEN vs ATL 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & season form	-1.5	38–6	W	U44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA LLWWW	5-7	42%	3-2	4-4
ARI WWWLW	8-4	67%	4-2	2-2

Venue/role: SEA away, as underdog; ARI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA UUUUO	6-6	50%	7-5
ARI OUUUU	5-7	42%	6-6

Went over in Q4. Of 110 earlier overs in games with totals 42.5–48.5, 21% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
ARI	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

SEA 31–17 ARI (1 tied) SEA leads · 49 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last 10 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 24 2024	Arizona Cardinals 6 @ Seattle Seahawks 16	ARI -1.5	SEA W
Jan 7 2023	Seattle Seahawks 21 @ Arizona Cardinals 20	SEA -3	ARI W
Oct 22 2023	Arizona Cardinals 10 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	SEA -9.5	SEA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−0.6 →−0.3▲ 0.3#17

ARI−1.7 →+0.4▲ 2.1#15

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

SEA

Longer bar = better

ARI

#16

Offense

ARI better ▶

#11

#14

Defense

◀ SEA better

#21

−0.5 #26

Turnovers

ARI better ▶

−0.1 #17

62 plays #14

Pace

◀ SEA faster

59 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Even matchup

	SEA off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	22.7 #15	21.6 #11	Even
Yards / play	5.43 #14	5.41 #17	Even
EPA / play	−0.04 #20	+0.04 #23	Even
Success rate	43% #16	48% #31	SEA

When ARI has the ball

Even matchup

	ARI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	22.2 #17	22.1 #12	SEA
Yards / play	5.88 #7	5.36 #14	ARI
EPA / play	+0.05 #10	−0.01 #13	Even
Success rate	47% #8	44% #18	ARI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	3.3 #24	7.1 #14	10.4 #18	5.0 #13	7.0 #14	12.0 #13
ARI allowed	3.9 #12	8.1 #24	12.0 #19	5.1 #17	4.5 #6	9.6 #8

ARI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	5.5 #7	6.9 #16	12.4 #12	4.5 #17	5.3 #25	9.8 #23
SEA allowed	4.3 #17	6.7 #18	10.9 #14	5.1 #17	5.6 #12	10.7 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.