Cardinals @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2024)

Sun, Nov 24, 2024, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Seattle Seahawks · Division game

Weather at kickoff46°F6 mphgusts 12Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Arizona Cardinals

6-4 · Power #17

final

Final

Seattle Seahawks

5-5 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARI -1.5

✓ SEA W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 22 pts

Model before kickoff

ARI 25–23 SEA

✗ ARI (55%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -1.5

CloseARI -1.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -1.5

3 → ARI

CloseARI -1.5

3 pts toward Arizona Cardinals

Total

Open47.5

▼ 1

Close46.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -1.5 · closed ARI -1.5 · moved 3 toward ARImodel SEA -0.5

model SEA -0.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 60% (45 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSEA -1.5

CloseARI -1.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARI as a 1.5-point road favorite at SEA, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 16–6 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 22 points stayed under 46.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 43%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 3.2 against an average line of 1.8; 43.8 points a game (usually 43.3). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NYJ @ ARI 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-1.5	6–31	L	U46.5
Very close	LAR @ SEA 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2	26–20	W	U48.5
Very close	ATL @ TB 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & situation	-0.5	31–26	W	O47.5
Close	CLE @ NO 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-1.5	14–35	L	O43.5
Close	BAL @ DAL 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar total	-1.5	28–25	W	O47.5
Close	ATL @ NO 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & situation	-4.5	17–20	L	U47.5
Loose	NYJ @ SEA 2022 · Week 17 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-2	6–23	L	U43
Loose	CIN @ LV 2021 · Week 11 · loose · similar rest & season form	-1.5	32–13	W	U51
Loose	CLE @ ATL 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar team ratings & season form	-1	20–23	L	U48.5
Loose	HOU @ IND 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar team ratings & season form	-1.5	23–19	W	U48

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI LWWWW	7-3	70%	3-1	2-1
SEA LWLLW	3-7	30%	1-5	2-4

Venue/role: ARI away, as favorite; SEA home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI OUOUU	5-5	50%	6-4
SEA OUUUU	5-5	50%	5-5

Stayed under: it needed 31 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 51% of games with totals 43.5–49.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARI	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
SEA	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ARI 17–31 SEA (1 tied) SEA leads · 49 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last 10 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 7 2023	Seattle Seahawks 21 @ Arizona Cardinals 20	SEA -3	ARI W
Oct 22 2023	Arizona Cardinals 10 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	SEA -9.5	SEA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI−1.7 →+0.1▲ 1.8#15

SEA−0.6 →−0.4▲ 0.2#18

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

ARI

Longer bar = better

SEA

Offense

◀ ARI better

#16

#22

Defense

Even

#21

0.0 #17

Turnovers

◀ ARI better

−0.6 #26

58 plays #30

Pace

SEA faster ▶

63 plays #10

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: ARI offense

	ARI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	23.8 #13	23.8 #21	ARI
Yards / play	6.01 #5	5.48 #17	ARI
EPA / play	+0.08 #9	+0.03 #21	ARI
Success rate	48% #6	46% #23	ARI

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	23.0 #15	22.0 #12	Even
Yards / play	5.58 #13	5.48 #18	SEA
EPA / play	−0.04 #21	+0.06 #26	SEA
Success rate	45% #14	48% #31	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	6.3 #4	7.4 #13	13.7 #9	4.4 #18	5.7 #22	10.1 #21
SEA allowed	3.7 #9	7.0 #19	10.7 #13	6.1 #29	6.4 #18	12.5 #22

SEA scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	4.0 #19	6.2 #20	10.2 #18	5.4 #13	7.1 #11	12.5 #9
ARI allowed	4.4 #20	8.7 #26	13.1 #26	4.8 #11	4.1 #4	8.9 #7

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.