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NFL · 2024

NFL Wild Card round games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWild Card round: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
6 finalFavorites 3-3 ATS3 upsetsO/U 1-5Model Favorite 3-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games66 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS3-350% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under1-517% over
Model Favorite3-350% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up2 all 2 final
Over0 0%Under2 100%
Moved down3 all 3 final
Over1 33%Under2 67%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
2–250%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
1–0100%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
—
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Jan 11

2
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
Los Angeles Chargers
11-6 · #13
12
Houston Texans
10-7 · #11
32
Spread
LAC -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
23–21
✗ LAC lost
Trend: LAC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: HOU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
Pittsburgh Steelers
10-7 · #12
14
Baltimore Ravens
12-5 · #1
28
Spread
BAL -9.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 42
Projected
18–28
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: BAL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Jan 12

3
Final · AFC Wild Card Playoffs
Denver Broncos
10-7 · #15
7
Buffalo Bills
13-4 · #4
31
Spread
BUF -7.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
20–27
✓ BUF won
Trend: DEN ATS ✗ Model: DEN by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
Green Bay Packers
11-6 · #5
10
Philadelphia Eagles
14-3 · #2
22
Spread
PHI -5.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 32
Projected
21–26
✓ PHI won
Trend: PHI ATS ✓ Model: GB by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs
Washington Commanders
12-5 · #10
23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10-7 · #7
20
Spread
TB -3.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲2
▼ Under 43
Projected
24–28
✗ TB lost
Trend: TB ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TB by 0 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Jan 13

1
Final · NFC Wild Card Playoffs - Moved to Arizona due to wildfires in Los Angeles
Minnesota Vikings
14-3 · #8
9
Los Angeles Rams
10-7 · #16
27
Spread
MIN -2.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
25–22
✗ MIN lost
Trend: MIN ATS ✗ Model: LAR by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total