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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 15 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 15: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 11-5 ATS4 upsetsO/U 8-8Model Favorite 12-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS11-569% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under8-850% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up7 all 7 final
Over3 43%Under4 57%
Moved down6 all 6 final
Over3 50%Under3 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
4–640%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–167%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–10%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Dec 12

1
Final · Division
Los Angeles Rams
7-6 · #16
12
San Francisco 49ers
6-7 · #9
6
Spread
SF -2.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 18
Projected
23–26
✗ SF lost
Model: SF by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Dec 15

13
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
12-1 · #6
21
Cleveland Browns
3-10 · #28
7
Spread
KC -3.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 28
Projected
21–17
✓ KC won
Trend: CLE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: KC by 2 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
5-8 · #14
37
Tennessee Titans
3-10 · #26
27
Spread
CIN -6.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
25–19
✓ CIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TEN by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Washington Commanders
8-5 · #10
20
New Orleans Saints
5-8 · #25
19
Spread
WSH -7.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 39
Projected
27–20
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✗ Model: NO by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
8-5 · #1
35
New York Giants
2-11 · #31
14
Spread
BAL -16.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
30–14
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✓ Model: NYG by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
5-8 · #22
30
Carolina Panthers
3-10 · #32
14
Spread
CAR -2.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼2
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
23–25
✗ CAR lost
Trend: CAR ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: DAL by 5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
3-10 · #23
32
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-10 · #29
25
Spread
NYJ -3.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
23–20
✓ NYJ won
Trend: JAX ATS ✗ Model: JAX by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
6-7 · #18
12
Houston Texans
8-5 · #11
20
Spread
HOU -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▼ Under 32
Projected
22–24
✓ HOU won
Model: MIA by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
6-7 · #21
13
Denver Broncos
8-5 · #15
31
Spread
DEN -3.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
21–25
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: DEN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
10-3 · #4
48
Detroit Lions
12-1 · #3
42
Spread
DET -2.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▲ Over 90 · Q3
Projected
25–27
✗ DET lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: BUF by 1 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
10-3 · #12
13
Philadelphia Eagles
11-2 · #2
27
Spread
PHI -5.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–24
✓ PHI won
Trend: PIT ATS ✗ Model: PIT by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
3-10 · #30
17
Arizona Cardinals
6-7 · #17
30
Spread
ARI -5.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
19–24
✓ ARI won
Trend: NE ATS ✗ Model: ARI by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-6 · #7
40
Los Angeles Chargers
8-5 · #13
17
Spread
LAC -3
✓ TB W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
22–25
✗ LAC lost
Trend: LAC ATS ✗ Model: TB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
9-4 · #5
30
Seattle Seahawks
8-5 · #19
13
Spread
GB -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▼ Under 43
Projected
25–23
✓ GB won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: GB by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Dec 16

2
Final · Division
Chicago Bears
4-9 · #24
12
Minnesota Vikings
11-2 · #8
30
Spread
MIN -6.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 42
Projected
19–25
✓ MIN won
Model: MIN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
6-7 · #20
15
Las Vegas Raiders
2-11 · #27
9
Spread
ATL -5.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲2
▼ Under 24
Projected
26–21
✓ ATL won
Trend: ATL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: LV by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total