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NFL · 2024

NFL Week 18 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 18: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 7-9 ATS4 upsetsO/U 11-5Model Favorite 12-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS7-944% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under11-569% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up6 all 6 final
Over3 50%Under3 50%
Moved down7 all 7 final
Over5 71%Under2 29%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
7–750%
99–11446%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
5–363%
46–5048%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
3–260%
17–1455%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
2–167%
6–275%
17–1652%
7+ pts
0–10%
0–10%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Jan 4

2
Final · Division
Cleveland Browns
3-13 · #28
10
Baltimore Ravens
11-5 · #1
35
Spread
BAL -20.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
13–33
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Cincinnati Bengals
8-8 · #14
19
Pittsburgh Steelers
10-6 · #12
17
Spread
CIN -2.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 36
Projected
25–23
✓ CIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✗ Model: PIT by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Jan 5

14
Final · Division
Carolina Panthers
4-12 · #32
44
Atlanta Falcons
8-8 · #20
38
Spread
ATL -7.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 82 · Q3
Projected
20–28
✗ ATL lost
Model: ATL by 4 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Washington Commanders
11-5 · #10
23
Dallas Cowboys
7-9 · #22
19
Spread
WSH -7.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▼ Under 42
Projected
29–22
✓ WSH won
Trend: WSH ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: DAL by 2 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Chicago Bears
4-12 · #24
24
Green Bay Packers
11-5 · #5
22
Spread
GB -10.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
16–26
✗ GB lost
Model: GB by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Houston Texans
9-7 · #11
23
Tennessee Titans
3-13 · #26
14
Spread
TEN -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
36.5
▲ Over 37 · Q4
Projected
20–22
✗ TEN lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✓ Model: HOU by 5 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-12 · #29
23
Indianapolis Colts
7-9 · #21
26
Spread
IND -3.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
23–27
✓ IND won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: IND by 1 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Buffalo Bills
13-3 · #4
16
New England Patriots
3-13 · #30
23
Spread
BUF -3.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
36.5 ▼5
▲ Over 39 · Q4
Projected
23–19
✗ BUF lost
Trend: Under ✗Trend: BUF ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 8.5 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New York Giants
3-13 · #31
13
Philadelphia Eagles
13-3 · #2
20
Spread
PHI -2.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
35.5 ▼3
▼ Under 33
Projected
18–22
✓ PHI won
Trend: Under ✓Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: PHI by 13.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New Orleans Saints
5-11 · #25
19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9-7 · #7
27
Spread
TB -14.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
18–32
✓ TB won
Model: NO by 4 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Kansas City Chiefs
15-1 · #6
0
Denver Broncos
9-7 · #15
38
Spread
DEN -11.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
15–25
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓ Model: KC by 9.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Los Angeles Chargers
10-6 · #13
34
Las Vegas Raiders
4-12 · #27
20
Spread
LAC -6.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
24–18
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓ Model: LV by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
Seattle Seahawks
9-7 · #19
30
Los Angeles Rams
10-6 · #16
25
Spread
SEA -7.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼5
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
25–18
✓ SEA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: LAR by 5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Miami Dolphins
8-8 · #18
20
New York Jets
4-12 · #23
32
Spread
NYJ -2.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
18–20
✓ NYJ won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYJ by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
San Francisco 49ers
6-10 · #9
24
Arizona Cardinals
7-9 · #17
47
Spread
ARI -4.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼4
▲ Over 71 · Q3
Projected
20–24
✓ ARI won
Trend: ARI ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: SF by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Minnesota Vikings
14-2 · #8
9
Detroit Lions
14-2 · #3
31
Spread
DET -2.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲5
▼ Under 40
Projected
25–27
✓ DET won
Trend: MIN ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: DET by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total