Seahawks @ Rams: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2024)

Sun, Jan 5, 2025, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 18 · at Los Angeles Rams · Division game

Weather at kickoff75°F1 mphgusts 8DryWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

9-7 · Power #19

▲ winner

Final

Los Angeles Rams

10-6 · Power #16

final

Closing spread

SEA -7.5

✓ LAR W

Total

38.5

▲ Over · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 25–18 LAR

✓ SEA (74%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseSEA -7.5

Total43.5 → 38.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAR -2.5

10 → SEA

CloseSEA -7.5

10 pts toward Seattle Seahawks

Total

Open43.5

▼ 5

Close38.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAR -2.5 · closed SEA -7.5 · moved 10 toward SEAmodel SEA -2.5

model SEA -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 5.5–9.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 43% (45 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseSEA -7.5

Total43.5 → 38.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 8 games most like SEA as a 7.5-point road favorite at LAR, the favorite won 6, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 30–25; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 8 similar games. 55 points went over 38.5, as in 3 of 8.

Favorite won

6 of 875%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

3 of 838%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

3 of 838%

Normal range · usually 53%

Only 8 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 5 against an average line of 6.9; 41.8 points a game (usually 46.3). When games like this go over ›

All 8 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	SEA @ LAR 2022 · Week 13 · loose · similar situation	-7	27–23	L	O41
Loose	TB @ ARI 2022 · Week 16 · loose · similar situation	-7.5	19–16	L	U42
Loose	MIN @ CHI 2022 · Week 18 · loose · similar situation & season form	-7.5	29–13	W	U42.5
Loose	DAL @ WSH 2022 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & situation	-7.5	6–26	L	U41
Loose	SF @ CAR 2022 · Week 5 · loose · similar season form	-6.5	37–15	W	O39.5
Loose	GB @ BAL 2021 · Week 15 · loose · similar season form	-7	31–30	L	O44.5
Loose	WSH @ NYG 2021 · Week 18 · loose · similar situation	-6.5	22–7	W	U36.5
Loose	LV @ LAR 2022 · Week 14 · loose	-6	16–17	L	U42

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA WWLLL	6-10	38%	4-3	1-4
LAR WWWWL	8-8	50%	3-5	4-5

Venue/role: SEA away, as favorite; LAR home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA OOUOU	8-8	50%	9-7
LAR UOUUU	7-9	44%	10-6

Went over in Q3. Of 84 earlier overs in games with totals 35.5–41.5, 27% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
LAR	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

SEA 28–24 LAR SEA leads · 52 games since 2000 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 3 2024	Los Angeles Rams 26 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	LAR -2	LAR W
Nov 19 2023	Seattle Seahawks 16 @ Los Angeles Rams 17	LAR -2	SEA W
Sep 10 2023	Los Angeles Rams 30 @ Seattle Seahawks 13	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−0.6 →−0.2▲ 0.4#19

LAR+0.7 →0.0▼ 0.7#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

SEA

Longer bar = better

LAR

#18

Offense

Even

#15

#13

Defense

◀ SEA better

#22

−0.4 #26

Turnovers

LAR better ▶

+0.4 #10

61 plays #20

Pace

Even

61 plays #21

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Even matchup

	SEA off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	21.6 #19	22.3 #16	Even
Yards / play	5.44 #14	5.64 #26	SEA
EPA / play	−0.04 #21	+0.03 #23	Even
Success rate	43% #16	45% #24	SEA

When LAR has the ball

Even matchup

	LAR off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	21.4 #20	21.4 #11	SEA
Yards / play	5.36 #15	5.25 #12	Even
EPA / play	+0.01 #15	−0.01 #12	Even
Success rate	47% #10	44% #17	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	3.8 #19	7.0 #16	10.8 #19	4.3 #20	6.3 #18	10.6 #17
LAR allowed	5.3 #26	5.1 #4	10.4 #11	5.7 #25	5.8 #13	11.5 #17

LAR scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	1.7 #31	6.6 #20	8.3 #28	5.6 #11	7.1 #11	12.7 #10
SEA allowed	4.9 #24	6.4 #13	11.3 #17	4.7 #12	5.1 #7	9.8 #10

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.